Dabas v BKV Előre

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dabas win at 56%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Dabas 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–21–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Dabas v BKV Előre
4. 13′Dabas score on 13′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–14–9
5. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Dabas 1–0 BKV Előre
6. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 76% now
7. 14′We said Dabas at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–14–9
8. 25′Dabas find the net on 25′. 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–2
9. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Dabas 2–0 BKV Előre
10. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 92% now
11. 26′We said Dabas at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
12. 27′GOAL DISALLOWED · 27' Dabas
13. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 92% now
14. 28′A goal for Dabas on 27′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 98–2–0
15. 28′We said Dabas at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–0 · 98–2–0
16. 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Dabas 3–0 BKV Előre
17. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 98% now
18. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Dabas 3–0 BKV Előre
19. 30′BKV Előre score on 30′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 92–6–2
20. 30′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 92–6–2
21. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Dabas 3–1 BKV Előre
22. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 92% now
23. 44′BKV Előre find the net on 44′. 3–2. 3–2 · 77–16–6
24. 44′5 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 77–16–6
25. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Dabas 3–2 BKV Előre
26. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 77% now
27. 45′HALF-TIME Dabas 3–2 BKV Előre
28. 46′SECOND HALF Dabas 3–2 BKV Előre
29. 54′A goal for BKV Előre on 53′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 41–38–21
30. 54′We said Dabas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 3–3 · 41–38–21
31. 54′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 41–38–21
32. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Dabas 3–3 BKV Előre
33. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 41% now
34. 57′We said Dabas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 3–3 · 39–40–21
35. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Dabas win 37%)
36. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
37. 65′We said Dabas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 3–3 · 34–47–19
38. 70′BKV Előre score on 70′ to make it 3–4. 3–4 · 7–23–70
39. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Dabas 3–4 BKV Előre
40. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 7% now
41. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' BKV Előre win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 23%)
42. 71′We said Dabas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 3–4 · 6–23–71
43. 71′7 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–4 · 6–23–71
44. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
45. 75′We said Dabas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–4 · 4–21–75
46. 76′Dabas find the net on 76′. 4–4. 4–4 · 24–63–14
47. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Dabas 4–4 BKV Előre
48. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 24% now
49. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 63% (was BKV Előre win 14%)
50. 77′We said Dabas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 4–4 · 22–65–13
51. 77′That is 8, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 4–4 · 22–65–13
52. 80′We said Dabas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 4–4 · 18–71–11
53. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, 15% now
54. 83′We said Dabas at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 4–4 · 14–78–8
55. 89′Dabas are down to ten from 88′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 4–4 · 8–88–5
56. 89′🟥 RED CARD · 88' Dabas
57. 90′A goal for BKV Előre on 90′ — 4–5. 4–5 · 0–6–93
58. 90′9 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 4–5 · 0–6–93
59. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Dabas 4–5 BKV Előre
60. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Dabas win: 56% at kick-off, under 1% now
61. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' BKV Előre win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 6%)
62. FTFULL TIME Dabas 4–5 BKV Előre
63. FTDabas 4–5 BKV Előre · Dabas win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.