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Csepel v Szolnoki MAV FC

Csepel
3–2Full time
Szolnoki MAV FC

NB III - Southeast · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
Csepel 3–2 Szolnoki MAV FC CSEPEL WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Csepel win61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.231

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 23 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Csepel win at 61%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Csepel was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–18–21
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Csepel v Szolnoki MAV FC
  4. 7′A goal for Szolnoki MAV FC on 7′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 39–21–40
  5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Csepel 0–1 Szolnoki MAV FC
  6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 39% now
  7. 8′We said Csepel at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–1 · 38–21–41
  8. 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Szolnoki MAV FC win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Csepel win 60%)
  9. 20′We said Csepel at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–23–43
  10. 28′Csepel score on 28′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 55–23–22
  11. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Csepel 1–1 Szolnoki MAV FC
  12. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 55% now
  13. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Csepel win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Szolnoki MAV FC win 45%)
  14. 30′Csepel find the net on 30′. 2–1. 2–1 · 78–14–8
  15. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Csepel 2–1 Szolnoki MAV FC
  16. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 78% now
  17. 31′We published Csepel at 61%. Our model now makes it 78%. 2–1 · 78–14–8
  18. 33′A goal for Szolnoki MAV FC on 33′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 53–25–22
  19. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Csepel 2–2 Szolnoki MAV FC
  20. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 53% now
  21. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
  22. 45′We said Csepel at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 2–2 · 49–29–22
  23. 45′HALF-TIME Csepel 2–2 Szolnoki MAV FC
  24. 46′SECOND HALF Csepel 2–2 Szolnoki MAV FC
  25. 56′We said Csepel at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 44–35–21
  26. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
  27. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Csepel win 41%)
  28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
  29. 75′We said Csepel at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–57–15
  30. 79′We said Csepel at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 23–65–12
  31. 80′Goals are coming at about the 4.1 we expected. 2–2 · 22–67–12
  32. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 20% now
  33. 82′We said Csepel at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–72–10
  34. 84′We said Csepel at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–78–8
  35. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
  36. 88′Csepel score on 88′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 94–5–0
  37. 88′We published Csepel at 61%. Our model now makes it 94%. 3–2 · 94–5–0
  38. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Csepel 3–2 Szolnoki MAV FC
  39. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Csepel win: 61% at kick-off, 94% now
  40. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Csepel win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 84%)
  41. 89′We published Csepel at 61%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
  42. 89′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.1 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 95–5–0
  43. FTFULL TIME Csepel 3–2 Szolnoki MAV FC
  44. FTCsepel 3–2 Szolnoki MAV FC · Csepel win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Csepel are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Csepel 61%, draw 18%, Szolnoki MAV FC 21%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Csepel v Szolnoki MAV FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Csepel win61%
Draw18%
Szolnoki MAV FC win21%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundSoutheast · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Csepel

Szolnoki MAV FC

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · NB III - Southeast

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Southeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Csepel12+617
10Szolnoki MAV FC12−214

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · csepel winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off
61% The market–
Us61%

We make Csepel a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Csepel v Szolnoki MAV FC2.58 – 1.48
Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 SeptW1 D3 L2 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 17 v 147 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 11:48
Our probability · Csepel win

Published at 59%, 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Csepel win61%––
Draw18%––
Szolnoki MAV FC win21%––
Over 2.5 goals76%––
Both teams to score70%––
Over 1.5 goals90%––
Over 3.5 goals57%––
Csepel or draw79%––
Csepel clean sheet24%––
Szolnoki MAV FC clean sheet8%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%
0123450 2.1 2.7 1 4.7 6.8 4.8 2.4 2 5.9 8.2 5.9 2.9 3 4.9 6.9 5.0 2.5 4 3.2 4.5 3.2 5 2.4
under 2% 5% 12%+Csepel down, Szolnoki MAV FC across0–5 goals a side shown (93.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 Sept

CSEPEL

DLDLDW2–2 · 0–6 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 3–1

SZOLNOKI MAV FC

WDLLDL1–0 · 4–4 · 1–2 · 3–4 · 1–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Gyulai Termál12+3336
2ESMTK12+2127
3III. Kerületi TUE12+1126
4Szeged-Csanád II12+720
5Újpest II12+1019
6Vasas II12+1118
7Csepel12+617
8Bekescsaba 191212+114
9Monori Se12−114
10Szolnoki MAV FC12−214
11Dabas12−1214
12Honvéd II12−211
13Sándorfalva12−2210
14Hódmezővásárhely12−128
15BKV Előre12−288
16Szegedi VSE12−216

The competition's standings before kick-off.