Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
Back

Home › Football › NB III - Southeast › Csepel v Szegedi VSE

Hungary flag

Csepel v Szegedi VSE

Csepel
1–1Full time
Szegedi VSE

NB III - Southeast · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35
Csepel 1–1 Szegedi VSE CSEPEL WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Csepel win72%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.260

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Csepel win at 72%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Csepel was 72% before kick-off and our model makes it 73% now. 0–0 · 73–15–13
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Csepel v Szegedi VSE
  4. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Csepel 0–1 Szegedi VSE
  5. 42′Szegedi VSE find the net on 33′. 0–1. 0–1 · 33–27–40
  6. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Csepel win: 72% at kick-off, 33% now
  7. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Szegedi VSE win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Csepel win 33%)
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Csepel 0–1 Szegedi VSE
  9. 47′SECOND HALF Csepel 0–1 Szegedi VSE
  10. 49′A goal for Csepel on 48′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 57–28–15
  11. 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Csepel 1–1 Szegedi VSE
  12. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Csepel win: 72% at kick-off, 57% now
  13. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Csepel win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Szegedi VSE win 15%)
  14. 69′We said Csepel at 72%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–45–14
  15. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Csepel win: 72% at kick-off, 41% now
  16. 89′We said Csepel at 72%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–95–1
  17. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Csepel win: 72% at kick-off, 3% now
  18. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Csepel win 3%)
  19. FTFULL TIME Csepel 1–1 Szegedi VSE
  20. FTCsepel 1–1 Szegedi VSE · Csepel win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Csepel win72%
Draw15%
Szegedi VSE win14%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · csepel winPublished 10 Oct 12:19
72% The market–
Us72%

We make Csepel a 72% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Csepel win72%––
Draw15%––
Szegedi VSE win14%––
Over 2.5 goals78%––
Both teams to score66%––
Over 1.5 goals92%––
Over 3.5 goals60%––
Csepel or draw86%––
Csepel clean sheet30%––
Szegedi VSE clean sheet6%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.8%
0123450 2.1 1 4.7 5.6 3.5 2 6.5 7.8 4.8 2.0 3 6.2 7.5 4.6 4 4.6 5.5 3.4 5 2.9 3.4 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Csepel down, Szegedi VSE across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsSZE 2–3 CSE · CSE 0–1 SZE

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast

CSEPEL

WWDLDL9–1 · 5–1 · 2–2 · 0–6 · 1–1 · 0–1

SZEGEDI VSE

LDLLLL1–8 · 3–3 · 1–6 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 1–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Gyulai Termál10+2930
2III. Kerületi TUE10+1124
3ESMTK10+1721
4Újpest II10+1118
5Vasas II10+1217
6Szeged-Csanád II10+516
7Monori Se10+414
8Csepel10+413
9Szolnoki MAV FC10−113
10Dabas10−1113
11Honvéd II10+311
12Bekescsaba 191210−110
13Hódmezővásárhely10−117
14Sándorfalva10−217
15BKV Előre10−294
16Szegedi VSE10−222

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.