BKV Előre v Szegedi VSE prediction · NB III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BKV ElőreDrawSzegedi VSE

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · BKV Előre 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

BKV Előre are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: BKV Előre 49%, draw 20%, Szegedi VSE 31%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 75%.

The AI’s read on BKV Előre v Szegedi VSEBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

BKV Előre win49%

Draw20%

Szegedi VSE win31%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundSoutheast · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

BKV Előre

Szegedi VSE

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · NB III - Southeast

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Southeast

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	BKV Előre	12	−28	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	−21	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bkv előre winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make BKV Előre a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.9, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · BKV Előre v Szegedi VSE~~2.34 – 1.87

~~Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 6~~15 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
BKV Előre win	49%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Szegedi VSE win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	75%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	60%	–	–
BKV Előre or draw	69%	–	–
BKV Előre clean sheet	16%	–	–
Szegedi VSE clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.4%

0123450 2.9 2.7 1 3.7 6.8 5.9 3.7 2 4.2 7.4 6.7 4.1 3 3.2 5.7 5.1 3.2 4 3.3 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+BKV Előre down, Szegedi VSE across0–5 goals a side shown (94.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 821 NB III - Southeast matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.7% of games this season, across 102 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.20 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

BKV Előre at home: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Szegedi VSE away: 0.83 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.34 goals for BKV Előre, 1.87 for Szegedi VSE. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~SZE 1–5 BKV · BKV 0–1 SZE · SZE 1–1 BKV · BKV 2–3 SZE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 Sept

BKV ELŐRE

LWLLDW1–3 · 1–0 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 5–4

SZEGEDI VSE

LLLLDW1–6 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	13	+34	39
2	ESMTK	12	+21	27
3	III. Kerületi TUE	13	+10	26
4	Szeged-Csanád II	13	+8	23
5	Csepel	13	+7	20
6	Vasas II	13	+11	19
7	Újpest II	12	+10	19
8	Monori Se	13	−1	15
9	Dabas	13	−12	15
10	Bekescsaba 1912	13	0	14
11	Szolnoki MAV FC	13	−3	14
12	Honvéd II	13	−2	12
13	Sándorfalva	13	−22	11
14	Hódmezővásárhely	13	−12	9
15	BKV Előre	12	−28	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	−21	6