BKV Előre v Szeged-Csanád II prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 14:34

BKV Előre 1–1 Szeged-Csanád II SZEGED-CSANÁD II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Szeged-Csanád II win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.920

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Szeged-Csanád II win at 47%.
1′KICK-OFF BKV Előre v Szeged-Csanád II
2′Little has changed for our model: Szeged-Csanád II 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 31–23–47
3′Little has changed for our model: Szeged-Csanád II 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 31–23–47
34′⚽ GOAL · 33' BKV Előre 0–1 Szeged-Csanád II
40′Szeged-Csanád II find the net on 33′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–19–72
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Szeged-Csanád II win: 47% at kick-off, 72% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Szeged-Csanád II win: 47% at kick-off, 44% now
41′Szeged-Csanád II find the net on 33′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–19–72
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Szeged-Csanád II win: 47% at kick-off, 72% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Szeged-Csanád II win: 47% at kick-off, 44% now
45′HALF-TIME BKV Előre 0–1 Szeged-Csanád II
46′SECOND HALF BKV Előre 0–1 Szeged-Csanád II
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Szeged-Csanád II win: 47% at kick-off, 72% now
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' BKV Előre 1–1 Szeged-Csanád II
FTFULL TIME BKV Előre 1–1 Szeged-Csanád II
FTBKV Előre 1–1 Szeged-Csanád II · Szeged-Csanád II win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

BKV Előre win31%

Draw22%

Szeged-Csanád II win47%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

BKV Előre

Szeged-Csanád II

8Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Szeged-Csanád II	10	+5	16
15	BKV Előre	10	−29	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · szeged-csanád ii winPublished 11 Oct 12:12

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Szeged-Csanád II a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
BKV Előre win	31%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Szeged-Csanád II win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
BKV Előre or draw	53%	–	–
BKV Előre clean sheet	17%	–	–
Szeged-Csanád II clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 3.9 6.8 6.2 3.8 1 5.5 9.7 8.6 5.3 2.6 2 4.0 7.0 6.3 3.9 3 2.0 3.5 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+BKV Előre down, Szeged-Csanád II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 805 NB III - Southeast matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.0% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 4.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

BKV Előre at home: 1.17 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). Szeged-Csanád II away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for BKV Előre, 1.86 for Szeged-Csanád II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SZE 1–2 BKV · BKV 0–4 SZE · BKV 4–4 SZE · SZE 1–2 BKV

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast

BKV ELŐRE

LDLWLL1–9 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–4 · 0–3

SZEGED-CSANÁD II

DLLDDD2–2 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	11	+30	33
2	III. Kerületi TUE	11	+11	25
3	ESMTK	10	+17	21
4	Újpest II	11	+10	18
5	Vasas II	11	+11	17
6	Szeged-Csanád II	10	+5	16
7	Csepel	11	+4	14
8	Monori Se	11	+2	14
9	Szolnoki MAV FC	11	−1	14
10	Dabas	11	−11	14
11	Bekescsaba 1912	11	+1	13
12	Honvéd II	10	+3	11
13	Sándorfalva	11	−20	10
14	Hódmezővásárhely	11	−11	8
15	BKV Előre	10	−29	4
16	Szegedi VSE	11	−22	3