Bekescsaba 1912 v Szeged-Csanád II prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Bekescsaba 1912 1–2 Szeged-Csanád II BEKESCSABA 1912 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bekescsaba 1912 win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.987

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bekescsaba 1912 win at 56%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Bekescsaba 1912 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–23–21
1′KICK-OFF Bekescsaba 1912 v Szeged-Csanád II
11′A goal for Szeged-Csanád II on 11′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 29–25–46
11′We said Bekescsaba 1912 at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–25–46
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Bekescsaba 1912 0–1 Szeged-Csanád II
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Bekescsaba 1912 win: 56% at kick-off, 29% now
11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Szeged-Csanád II win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Bekescsaba 1912 win 54%)
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Bekescsaba 1912 win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
25′We said Bekescsaba 1912 at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–26–50
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 23–26–51
36′Szeged-Csanád II score on 36′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 7–13–80
36′We said Bekescsaba 1912 at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–13–80
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Bekescsaba 1912 0–2 Szeged-Csanád II
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Bekescsaba 1912 win: 56% at kick-off, 7% now
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Bekescsaba 1912 win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
45′HALF-TIME Bekescsaba 1912 0–2 Szeged-Csanád II
46′SECOND HALF Bekescsaba 1912 0–2 Szeged-Csanád II
47′We said Bekescsaba 1912 at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–84
90′Bekescsaba 1912 find the net on 89′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–6–94
90′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–6–94
90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Bekescsaba 1912 1–2 Szeged-Csanád II
92′Szeged-Csanád II are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–2 · 0–4–96
92′🟥 RED CARD · 90+2' Szeged-Csanád II
95′A second red card for Szeged-Csanád II on 90′ — they are down to nine. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–2 · 0–2–98
95′🟥 RED CARD · 90+5' Szeged-Csanád II
FTFULL TIME Bekescsaba 1912 1–2 Szeged-Csanád II
FTBekescsaba 1912 1–2 Szeged-Csanád II · Bekescsaba 1912 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bekescsaba 1912 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bekescsaba 1912 56%, draw 23%, Szeged-Csanád II 21%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Bekescsaba 1912 v Szeged-Csanád IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bekescsaba 1912 win56%

Draw23%

Szeged-Csanád II win21%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundSoutheast · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bekescsaba 1912

Szeged-Csanád II

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Southeast

Last match: 18 Oct · NB III - Southeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Szeged-Csanád II	12	+7	20
8	Bekescsaba 1912	12	+1	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bekescsaba 1912 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Bekescsaba 1912 a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bekescsaba 1912 v Szeged-Csanád II~~1.85 – 1.03

~~Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W1 D4 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 20~~8 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Bekescsaba 1912 win

Published at 57%, 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bekescsaba 1912 win	56%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Szeged-Csanád II win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Bekescsaba 1912 or draw	79%	–	–
Bekescsaba 1912 clean sheet	36%	–	–
Szeged-Csanád II clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 6.3 5.8 3.1 1 10.4 10.5 5.4 2 9.5 9.4 4.9 3 5.9 5.8 3.0 4 2.8 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bekescsaba 1912 down, Szeged-Csanád II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 815 NB III - Southeast matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.6% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bekescsaba 1912 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Szeged-Csanád II away: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Bekescsaba 1912, 1.03 for Szeged-Csanád II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BEK 1–0 SZE · SZE 1–2 BEK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Southeast this season · since 5 Sept

BEKESCSABA 1912

DWWLWD2–2 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–2

SZEGED-CSANÁD II

LDDDDW0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyulai Termál	12	+33	36
2	ESMTK	12	+21	27
3	III. Kerületi TUE	12	+11	26
4	Szeged-Csanád II	12	+7	20
5	Újpest II	12	+10	19
6	Vasas II	12	+11	18
7	Csepel	12	+6	17
8	Bekescsaba 1912	12	+1	14
9	Monori Se	12	−1	14
10	Szolnoki MAV FC	12	−2	14
11	Dabas	12	−12	14
12	Honvéd II	12	−2	11
13	Sándorfalva	12	−22	10
14	Hódmezővásárhely	12	−12	8
15	BKV Előre	12	−28	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	−21	6