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Tatabánya v Dorogi FC
Tatabánya
Dorogi FCNB III - Northwest · SAT 24 OCT · Grosics Gyula Stadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Tatabánya win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Tatabánya 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–23–27
- 1′KICK-OFF Tatabánya v Dorogi FC
- 19′Tatabánya score on 19′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–9
- 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Tatabánya 1–0 Dorogi FC
- 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Tatabánya win: 50% at kick-off, 73% now
- 20′We said Tatabánya at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–17–9
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 74–18–8
- 34′We said Tatabánya at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–8
- 45′HALF-TIME Tatabánya 1–0 Dorogi FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Tatabánya 1–0 Dorogi FC
- 48′Dorogi FC find the net on 48′. 1–1. 1–1 · 38–38–24
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Tatabánya 1–1 Dorogi FC
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Tatabánya win: 50% at kick-off, 38% now
- 49′We said Tatabánya at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–39–23
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Tatabánya win: 50% at kick-off, 38% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Tatabánya win 38%)
- 57′We said Tatabánya at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
- 59′A goal for Dorogi FC on 58′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 9–24–67
- 59′We said Tatabánya at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–67
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Tatabánya 1–2 Dorogi FC
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Tatabánya win: 50% at kick-off, 9% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Dorogi FC win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 45%)
- 60′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 8–24–67
- 71′We said Tatabánya at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Tatabánya win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 89′Tatabánya score on 89′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 6–89–4
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Tatabánya 2–2 Dorogi FC
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Tatabánya win: 50% at kick-off, 6% now
- 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Dorogi FC win 94%)
- 90′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 5–91–4
- FTFULL TIME Tatabánya 2–2 Dorogi FC
- FTTatabánya 2–2 Dorogi FC · Tatabánya win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Tatabánya are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Tatabánya 50%, draw 22%, Dorogi FC 27%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Tatabánya win50%
Dorogi FC win27%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:00
RoundNorthwest · matchday 13
VenueGrosics Gyula Stadion
Match timeline
All events
TatabányaMIN
Dorogi FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Tatabánya
Dorogi FC
Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Northwest
Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Northwest
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Tatabánya a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tatabánya win | 50% | 44% | +6 |
| Draw | 22% | 26% | −4 |
| Dorogi FC win | 27% | 30% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 52% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 56% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 75% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 32% | +2 |
| Tatabánya or draw | 73% | 70% | +3 |
| Tatabánya clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Dorogi FC clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 5 Sept
TATABÁNYA
DOROGI FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorogi FC | 12 | +24 | 29 |
| 2 | Tatabánya | 12 | +21 | 29 |
| 3 | Haladás VSE | 12 | +21 | 26 |
| 4 | SC Sopron | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 | MTE 1904 | 13 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Sárisápi Bányász | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Bicskei | 13 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 | Komárom | 12 | −1 | 18 |
| 9 | Puskás II | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 12 | −1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gyori ETO II | 12 | −1 | 14 |
| 12 | Veszprém | 12 | −5 | 13 |
| 13 | Király SZE | 13 | −8 | 13 |
| 14 | Pápai Perutz | 13 | −15 | 11 |
| 15 | Balatonalmádi | 12 | −22 | 8 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC | 13 | −28 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Haladás VSE
SC Sopron
MTE 1904
Sárisápi Bányász
Bicskei
Komárom
Puskás II
Zalaegerszegi TE II
Gyori ETO II
Veszprém
Király SZE
Pápai Perutz
Balatonalmádi
1908 SZAC