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SC Sopron v Komárom

SC Sopron

3–0Full time

Komárom

NB III - Northwest · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

SC Sopron 3–0 Komárom KOMÁROM WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Komárom win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.750

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Komárom win at 47%.
1′Much as we predicted: Komárom was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 30–24–46
1′KICK-OFF SC Sopron v Komárom
30′🟥 RED CARD · 30' Komárom
32′⚽ GOAL · 31' SC Sopron 1–0 Komárom
42′A red card for Komárom on 30′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 27–35–38
45′HALF-TIME SC Sopron 0–0 Komárom
46′SECOND HALF SC Sopron 0–0 Komárom
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Komárom win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' SC Sopron 1–0 Komárom
58′⚽ GOAL · 57' SC Sopron 2–0 Komárom
68′A goal for SC Sopron on 57′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Komárom win: 47% at kick-off, 1% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' SC Sopron win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Komárom win 1%)
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' SC Sopron 3–0 Komárom
88′77′ and it is 3–0: SC Sopron have scored. 3–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME SC Sopron 3–0 Komárom
FTSC Sopron 3–0 Komárom · Komárom win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

SC Sopron win31%

Draw23%

Komárom win47%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · komárom winPublished 10 Oct 12:19

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Komárom a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SC Sopron win	31%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Komárom win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
SC Sopron or draw	53%	–	–
SC Sopron clean sheet	19%	–	–
Komárom clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.8 8.9 7.0 4.0 1 7.1 10.3 8.9 5.1 2.2 2 4.4 7.0 5.8 3.3 3 3.2 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SC Sopron down, Komárom across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,502 NB III - Northwest matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Northwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.0% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SC Sopron at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Komárom away: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for SC Sopron, 1.70 for Komárom. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~KOM 1–0 SCS · SCS 1–1 KOM · KOM 2–1 SCS · SCS 0–4 KOM

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest

SC SOPRON

LLLWDW1–3 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 3–0

KOMÁROM

LDLDWL0–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 5–4 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Haladás VSE	10	+21	24
2	Dorogi FC	10	+21	23
3	Tatabánya	10	+17	23
4	Sárisápi Bányász	10	0	17
5	MTE 1904	10	+3	15
6	SC Sopron	10	+2	15
7	Bicskei	10	+1	15
8	Komárom	10	+1	15
9	Gyori ETO II	10	+3	14
10	Puskás II	10	0	13
11	Zalaegerszegi TE II	10	0	13
12	Pápai Perutz	10	−10	11
13	Veszprém	10	−7	10
14	Király SZE	10	−8	7
15	Balatonalmádi	10	−19	5
16	1908 SZAC	10	−25	2