Sárisápi Bányász v Zalaegerszegi TE II prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Sárisápi Bányász 2–2 Zalaegerszegi TE II SÁRISÁPI BÁNYÁSZ WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sárisápi Bányász win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.952

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sárisápi Bányász are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sárisápi Bányász 49%, draw 21%, Zalaegerszegi TE II 30%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Sárisápi Bányász v Zalaegerszegi TE IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Sárisápi Bányász win49%

Draw21%

Zalaegerszegi TE II win30%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundNorthwest · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sárisápi Bányász

Zalaegerszegi TE II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Northwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Sárisápi Bányász	12	0	20
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	12	−1	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sárisápi bányász winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Sárisápi Bányász a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sárisápi Bányász v Zalaegerszegi TE II~~1.90 – 1.45

~~Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 20 v 16~~4 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sárisápi Bányász win	49%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Zalaegerszegi TE II win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Sárisápi Bányász or draw	70%	–	–
Sárisápi Bányász clean sheet	24%	–	–
Zalaegerszegi TE II clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.4 5.8 3.8 1 7.4 9.1 6.7 3.3 2 6.4 8.8 6.2 3.1 3 4.0 5.5 3.9 4 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sárisápi Bányász down, Zalaegerszegi TE II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,518 NB III - Northwest matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Northwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.6% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Sárisápi Bányász at home: 2.20 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 5). Zalaegerszegi TE II away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.90 goals for Sárisápi Bányász, 1.45 for Zalaegerszegi TE II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 5 Sept

SÁRISÁPI BÁNYÁSZ

WWDDWL2–1 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

ZALAEGERSZEGI TE II

WDLWLW3–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dorogi FC	12	+24	29
2	Tatabánya	12	+21	29
3	Haladás VSE	12	+21	26
4	Sárisápi Bányász	12	0	20
5	MTE 1904	12	+6	19
6	SC Sopron	12	+3	18
7	Bicskei	12	+1	18
8	Komárom	12	−1	18
9	Puskás II	12	+3	17
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	12	−1	16
11	Gyori ETO II	12	−1	14
12	Veszprém	12	−5	13
13	Pápai Perutz	12	−13	11
14	Király SZE	12	−9	10
15	Balatonalmádi	12	−22	8
16	1908 SZAC	12	−27	2