Puskás II v Király SZE prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 12:33

Puskás II 5–2 Király SZE PUSKÁS II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Puskás II win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.259

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Puskás II win at 58%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Puskás II 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–21–21
1′KICK-OFF Puskás II v Király SZE
8′Little has changed for our model: Puskás II 58% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–22–21
13′13′ and it is 1–1: Király SZE have scored. 1–1 · 56–23–21
13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Puskás II 1–0 Király SZE
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Puskás II 1–1 Király SZE
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Puskás II 1–2 Király SZE
28′A goal for Puskás II on 27′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 52–27–21
28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Puskás II 2–2 Király SZE
33′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 51–29–21
35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Puskás II 3–2 Király SZE
40′34′ and it is 3–2: Puskás II have scored. 3–2 · 79–15–5
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Puskás II win: 58% at kick-off, 79% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Puskás II win: 58% at kick-off, 53% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Puskás II win: 58% at kick-off, 79% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Puskás II win: 58% at kick-off, 53% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Puskás II win: 58% at kick-off, 79% now
43′34′ and it is 3–2: Puskás II have scored. 3–2 · 80–15–5
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Puskás II win: 58% at kick-off, 79% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Puskás II win: 58% at kick-off, 53% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Puskás II win: 58% at kick-off, 80% now
45′HALF-TIME Puskás II 3–2 Király SZE
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Puskás II win: 58% at kick-off, 79% now
46′SECOND HALF Puskás II 3–2 Király SZE
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Puskás II 4–2 Király SZE
58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Puskás II 5–2 Király SZE
FTFULL TIME Puskás II 5–2 Király SZE
FTPuskás II 5–2 Király SZE · Puskás II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Puskás II win58%

Draw20%

Király SZE win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 10:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Puskás II

Király SZE

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Puskás II	10	0	13
14	Király SZE	10	−8	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · puskás ii winPublished 11 Oct 10:06

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Puskás II a 58% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Puskás II win	58%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Király SZE win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Puskás II or draw	78%	–	–
Puskás II clean sheet	32%	–	–
Király SZE clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.9 5.2 2.7 1 8.8 9.0 5.4 2.1 2 8.5 9.4 5.4 2.1 3 5.8 6.5 3.7 4 3.1 3.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Puskás II down, Király SZE across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,506 NB III - Northwest matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Northwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.5% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Puskás II at home: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Király SZE away: 1.00 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.08 goals for Puskás II, 1.16 for Király SZE. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest

PUSKÁS II

WWLLDW3–1 · 5–0 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 4–1

KIRÁLY SZE

LLDLDD0–2 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatabánya	11	+20	26
2	Haladás VSE	10	+21	24
3	Dorogi FC	10	+21	23
4	Sárisápi Bányász	11	+1	20
5	SC Sopron	11	+5	18
6	Bicskei	11	+3	18
7	MTE 1904	10	+3	15
8	Komárom	11	−2	15
9	Gyori ETO II	10	+3	14
10	Puskás II	10	0	13
11	Zalaegerszegi TE II	11	−3	13
12	Pápai Perutz	11	−12	11
13	Veszprém	10	−7	10
14	Király SZE	10	−8	7
15	Balatonalmádi	10	−19	5
16	1908 SZAC	11	−26	2