Pápai Perutz v Tatabánya

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tatabánya win at 76%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Tatabánya was 76% before kick-off and our model makes it 76% now. 0–0 · 11–14–76
3. 1′KICK-OFF Pápai Perutz v Tatabánya
4. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Tatabánya win: 76% at kick-off, 66% now
5. 37′We said Tatabánya at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 13–23–64
6. 38′PENALTY MISSED · 38' Tatabánya
7. 45′HALF-TIME Pápai Perutz 0–0 Tatabánya
8. 46′SECOND HALF Pápai Perutz 0–0 Tatabánya
9. 47′We said Tatabánya at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 13–28–59
10. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Tatabánya win: 76% at kick-off, 56% now
11. 55′We said Tatabánya at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 13–33–54
12. 55′We expected about 3.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 13–33–54
13. 62′We said Tatabánya at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 12–39–49
14. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Tatabánya win: 76% at kick-off, 46% now
15. 67′We said Tatabánya at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 12–45–44
16. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Tatabánya win 42%)
17. 71′We said Tatabánya at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 11–50–39
18. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Tatabánya win: 76% at kick-off, 36% now
19. 76′We said Tatabánya at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 9–59–32
20. 78′We said Tatabánya at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 8–63–29
21. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Tatabánya win: 76% at kick-off, 25% now
22. 81′We said Tatabánya at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 7–70–23
23. 81′Tatabánya score on 81′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 0–7–93
24. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Pápai Perutz 0–1 Tatabánya
25. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Tatabánya win: 76% at kick-off, 93% now
26. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Tatabánya win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
27. 82′We published Tatabánya at 76%. Our model now makes it 94%. 0–1 · 0–6–94
28. 84′We published Tatabánya at 76%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
29. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Tatabánya win: 76% at kick-off, 96% now
30. FTFULL TIME Pápai Perutz 0–1 Tatabánya
31. FTPápai Perutz 0–1 Tatabánya · Tatabánya win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.