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MTE 1904 v Gyori ETO II

MTE 1904
3–0Full time
Gyori ETO II

NB III - Northwest · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49
MTE 1904 3–0 Gyori ETO II MTE 1904 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said MTE 1904 win55%
The market said53%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.298
The market’s Brier score0.337

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said MTE 1904 win at 55%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: MTE 1904 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–23–22
  3. 1′KICK-OFF MTE 1904 v Gyori ETO II
  4. 5′MTE 1904 find the net on 5′. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–14–8
  5. 5′We said MTE 1904 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–14–8
  6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' MTE 1904 1–0 Gyori ETO II
  7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' MTE 1904 win: 55% at kick-off, 78% now
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 78–16–6
  9. 39′A goal for MTE 1904 on 39′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  10. 39′We said MTE 1904 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  11. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' MTE 1904 2–0 Gyori ETO II
  12. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' MTE 1904 win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
  13. 45′HALF-TIME MTE 1904 2–0 Gyori ETO II
  14. 46′SECOND HALF MTE 1904 2–0 Gyori ETO II
  15. 81′We said MTE 1904 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  16. 93′MTE 1904 score on 90′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  17. 93′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  18. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' MTE 1904 3–0 Gyori ETO II
  19. FTFULL TIME MTE 1904 3–0 Gyori ETO II
  20. FTMTE 1904 3–0 Gyori ETO II · MTE 1904 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

MTE 1904 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: MTE 1904 55%, draw 22%, Gyori ETO II 22%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on MTE 1904 v Gyori ETO IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

MTE 1904 win55%
Draw22%
Gyori ETO II win22%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundNorthwest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

MTE 1904

Gyori ETO II

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · NB III - Northwest

Last match: 11 Oct · NB III - Northwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8MTE 190411+316
10Gyori ETO II11+214

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mte 1904 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
55% The market53%
Us55%
Market53%

We make MTE 1904 a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · MTE 1904 v Gyori ETO II1.79 – 1.03
Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 29 AugW0 D3 L3 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 16 v 148 v 10
The market · MTE 1904 win53% · ours 55%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 11 OCT 04:0317 OCT 11:42
Our probability · MTE 1904 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
MTE 1904 win55%53%+2
Draw22%25%−3
Gyori ETO II win22%23%−1
Over 2.5 goals53%57%−4
Both teams to score52%58%−6
Over 1.5 goals76%79%−3
Over 3.5 goals31%36%−5
MTE 1904 or draw78%77%+1
MTE 1904 clean sheet36%––
Gyori ETO II clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.2%
0123450 5.9 6.7 3.2 1 11.2 10.4 5.5 2 9.5 9.4 4.9 3 5.7 5.7 2.9 4 2.6 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+MTE 1904 down, Gyori ETO II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.83
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored3 of 6
Last meetingsMTE 2–3 GYO · GYO 0–2 MTE · GYO 1–3 MTE · MTE 2–0 GYO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 29 Aug

MTE 1904

DLDLLD0–0 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 1–1

GYORI ETO II

LDDWLL2–3 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dorogi FC11+2226
2Tatabánya11+2026
3Haladás VSE11+2125
4Sárisápi Bányász11+120
5SC Sopron11+518
6Bicskei11+318
7Puskás II11+316
8MTE 190411+316
9Komárom11−215
10Gyori ETO II11+214
11Veszprém11−313
12Zalaegerszegi TE II11−313
13Pápai Perutz11−1211
14Király SZE11−117
15Balatonalmádi11−235
161908 SZAC11−262

The competition's standings before kick-off.