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Komárom v Sárisápi Bányász

Komárom
1–0Full time
Sárisápi Bányász

NB III - Northwest · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49
Komárom 1–0 Sárisápi Bányász KOMÁROM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Komárom win50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.374

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Komárom win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Komárom was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Komárom v Sárisápi Bányász
  4. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Komárom win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Komárom 0–0 Sárisápi Bányász
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Komárom 0–0 Sárisápi Bányász
  7. 50′We said Komárom at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–38–24
  8. 55′We expected about 3.2 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 36–41–23
  9. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Komárom win 36%)
  10. 59′We said Komárom at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
  11. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Komárom win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
  12. 67′We said Komárom at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
  13. 73′We said Komárom at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
  14. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Komárom win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  15. 78′We said Komárom at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
  16. 82′We said Komárom at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
  17. 84′Komárom score on 83′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 93–7–0
  18. 84′We published Komárom at 50%. Our model now makes it 93%. 1–0 · 93–7–0
  19. 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Komárom 1–0 Sárisápi Bányász
  20. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Komárom win: 50% at kick-off, 93% now
  21. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Komárom win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
  22. 88′We published Komárom at 50%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  23. FTFULL TIME Komárom 1–0 Sárisápi Bányász
  24. FTKomárom 1–0 Sárisápi Bányász · Komárom win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Komárom are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Komárom 50%, draw 22%, Sárisápi Bányász 28%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Komárom v Sárisápi BányászBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Komárom win50%
Draw22%
Sárisápi Bányász win28%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundNorthwest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Komárom

Sárisápi Bányász

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Northwest

Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Northwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Sárisápi Bányász11+120
9Komárom11−215

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · komárom winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Komárom a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Komárom v Sárisápi Bányász1.86 – 1.32
Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 29 AugW1 D2 L3 · W4 D2 L0
Table places · points 15 v 209 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Komárom win50%––
Draw22%––
Sárisápi Bányász win28%––
Over 2.5 goals61%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Komárom or draw72%––
Komárom clean sheet27%––
Sárisápi Bányász clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%
0123450 4.1 6.1 3.7 1 8.3 9.7 6.6 2.9 2 7.2 9.1 5.9 2.7 3 4.4 5.6 3.7 4 2.1 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Komárom down, Sárisápi Bányász across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 29 Aug

KOMÁROM

DLDWLL0–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 5–4 · 0–2 · 0–3

SÁRISÁPI BÁNYÁSZ

WWWDDW1–0 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dorogi FC11+2226
2Tatabánya11+2026
3Haladás VSE11+2125
4Sárisápi Bányász11+120
5SC Sopron11+518
6Bicskei11+318
7Puskás II11+316
8MTE 190411+316
9Komárom11−215
10Gyori ETO II11+214
11Veszprém11−313
12Zalaegerszegi TE II11−313
13Pápai Perutz11−1211
14Király SZE11−117
15Balatonalmádi11−235
161908 SZAC11−262

The competition's standings before kick-off.