Király SZE v 1908 SZAC prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Király SZE 1–0 1908 SZAC KIRÁLY SZE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Király SZE win~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.213

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Király SZE win at 62%.
1′Much as we predicted: Király SZE was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 62–19–19
1′KICK-OFF Király SZE v 1908 SZAC
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Király SZE win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
42′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–31–19
44′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–32–19
45′HALF-TIME Király SZE 0–0 1908 SZAC
46′SECOND HALF Király SZE 0–0 1908 SZAC
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Király SZE win: 62% at kick-off, 49% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Király SZE win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Draw 96%)
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Király SZE 1–0 1908 SZAC
54′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 44–38–18
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Király SZE win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
62′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–44–17
62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Király SZE win 42%)
68′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–51–15
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Király SZE win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
73′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–58–13
77′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–65–11
79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Király SZE win: 62% at kick-off, 21% now
81′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–73–9
84′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–81–6
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Király SZE win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
88′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–87–4
93′We said Király SZE at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–95–2
94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Király SZE win: 62% at kick-off, 2% now
FTFULL TIME Király SZE 1–0 1908 SZAC
FTKirály SZE 1–0 1908 SZAC · Király SZE win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Király SZE are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Király SZE 62%, draw 19%, 1908 SZAC 19%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Király SZE v 1908 SZACBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Király SZE win62%

Draw19%

1908 SZAC win19%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundNorthwest · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Király SZE

1908 SZAC

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Northwest

Last match: 18 Oct · NB III - Northwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Király SZE	12	−9	10
16	1908 SZAC	12	−27	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · király sze winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Király SZE a 62% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Király SZE v 1908 SZAC~~2.23 – 1.12

~~Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 10 v 2~~14 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Király SZE win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Király SZE win	62%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
1908 SZAC win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Király SZE or draw	81%	–	–
Király SZE clean sheet	33%	–	–
1908 SZAC clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.5 4.6 2.3 1 8.5 8.3 4.8 2 8.7 9.3 5.2 3 6.4 6.8 3.8 4 3.6 3.9 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Király SZE down, 1908 SZAC across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,518 NB III - Northwest matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Northwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.6% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Király SZE at home: 1.25 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 4). 1908 SZAC away: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.23 goals for Király SZE, 1.12 for 1908 SZAC. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 5 Sept

KIRÁLY SZE

DLDDLW2–2 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 2–5 · 3–1

1908 SZAC

DLLLLL0–0 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dorogi FC	12	+24	29
2	Tatabánya	12	+21	29
3	Haladás VSE	12	+21	26
4	Sárisápi Bányász	12	0	20
5	MTE 1904	12	+6	19
6	SC Sopron	12	+3	18
7	Bicskei	12	+1	18
8	Komárom	12	−1	18
9	Puskás II	12	+3	17
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	12	−1	16
11	Gyori ETO II	12	−1	14
12	Veszprém	12	−5	13
13	Pápai Perutz	12	−13	11
14	Király SZE	12	−9	10
15	Balatonalmádi	12	−22	8
16	1908 SZAC	12	−27	2