Haladás VSE v MTE 1904 prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Haladás VSE 1–1 MTE 1904 HALADÁS VSE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Haladás VSE win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.851

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 6 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Haladás VSE win at 44%.
1′Much as we predicted: Haladás VSE was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–26–30
1′KICK-OFF Haladás VSE v MTE 1904
2′Much as we predicted: Haladás VSE was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–27–29
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Haladás VSE 0–1 MTE 1904
45′HALF-TIME Haladás VSE 0–1 MTE 1904
46′SECOND HALF Haladás VSE 0–1 MTE 1904
80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Haladás VSE 1–1 MTE 1904
FTFULL TIME Haladás VSE 1–1 MTE 1904
FTHaladás VSE 1–1 MTE 1904 · Haladás VSE win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Haladás VSE win44%

Draw25%

MTE 1904 win30%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Haladás VSE

MTE 1904

7Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Haladás VSE	10	+21	24
7	MTE 1904	10	+3	15

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · haladás vse winPublished 11 Oct 16:05

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Haladás VSE a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Haladás VSE win	44%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
MTE 1904 win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Haladás VSE or draw	70%	–	–
Haladás VSE clean sheet	33%	–	–
MTE 1904 clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.7%

0123450 7.7 9.4 5.0 1 11.7 11.6 6.8 2.6 2 7.9 8.5 4.8 3 3.9 4.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Haladás VSE down, MTE 1904 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,506 NB III - Northwest matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Northwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.5% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 1.75 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Haladás VSE at home: 2.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). MTE 1904 away: 1.33 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.43 goals for Haladás VSE, 1.12 for MTE 1904. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~1.75

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~0 of 4

~~Last meetings~~HAL 1–0 MTE · MTE 0–2 HAL · MTE 2–0 HAL · HAL 0–2 MTE

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest

HALADÁS VSE

WWWDWD4–2 · 6–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 2–2

MTE 1904

WDLDLL5–1 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatabánya	11	+20	26
2	Haladás VSE	10	+21	24
3	Dorogi FC	10	+21	23
4	Sárisápi Bányász	11	+1	20
5	SC Sopron	11	+5	18
6	Bicskei	11	+3	18
7	MTE 1904	10	+3	15
8	Komárom	11	−2	15
9	Gyori ETO II	10	+3	14
10	Puskás II	10	0	13
11	Zalaegerszegi TE II	11	−3	13
12	Pápai Perutz	11	−12	11
13	Veszprém	10	−7	10
14	Király SZE	10	−8	7
15	Balatonalmádi	10	−19	5
16	1908 SZAC	11	−26	2