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Dorogi FC v Bicskei

Dorogi FC
3–1Full time
Bicskei

NB III - Northwest · SAT 17 OCT · Buzanszky Jeno Stadion

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42
Dorogi FC 3–1 Bicskei DOROGI FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Dorogi FC win57%
The market said58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.279
The market’s Brier score0.259

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dorogi FC win at 57%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Dorogi FC was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–20–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Dorogi FC v Bicskei
  4. 3′A goal for Dorogi FC on 3′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–14–10
  5. 3′We published Dorogi FC at 57%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–0 · 76–14–10
  6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Dorogi FC 1–0 Bicskei
  7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Dorogi FC win: 57% at kick-off, 76% now
  8. 16′Dorogi FC score on 16′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 91–6–3
  9. 16′We published Dorogi FC at 57%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–6–3
  10. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Dorogi FC 2–0 Bicskei
  11. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Dorogi FC win: 57% at kick-off, 91% now
  12. 41′Goals are coming at about the 3.6 we expected. 2–0 · 93–5–2
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Dorogi FC 2–0 Bicskei
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Dorogi FC 2–0 Bicskei
  15. 51′We published Dorogi FC at 57%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  16. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Dorogi FC win: 57% at kick-off, 97% now
  17. 76′Dorogi FC find the net on 76′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  18. 76′We published Dorogi FC at 57%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Dorogi FC 3–0 Bicskei
  20. 84′A goal for Bicskei on 84′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  21. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Dorogi FC 3–1 Bicskei
  22. 85′4 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  23. FTFULL TIME Dorogi FC 3–1 Bicskei
  24. FTDorogi FC 3–1 Bicskei · Dorogi FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dorogi FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dorogi FC 57%, draw 19%, Bicskei 24%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Dorogi FC v BicskeiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dorogi FC win57%
Draw19%
Bicskei win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundNorthwest · matchday 12

VenueBuzanszky Jeno Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dorogi FC

Bicskei

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · NB III - Northwest

Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Northwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dorogi FC11+2226
6Bicskei11+318

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dorogi fc winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
57% The market58%
Us57%
Market58%

We make Dorogi FC a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.2–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dorogi FC v Bicskei2.23 – 1.34
Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 29 AugW4 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 26 v 181 v 6
The market · Dorogi FC win58% · ours 57%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60% 11 OCT 04:0317 OCT 15:06
Our probability · Dorogi FC win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dorogi FC win57%58%−1
Draw19%22%−3
Bicskei win24%19%+5
Over 2.5 goals68%62%+6
Both teams to score64%59%+5
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals47%42%+5
Dorogi FC or draw76%81%−5
Dorogi FC clean sheet27%––
Bicskei clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%
0123450 2.9 4.5 2.8 1 6.8 8.2 5.7 2.6 2 6.8 8.8 5.9 2.7 3 5.0 6.4 4.2 4 2.9 3.7 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dorogi FC down, Bicskei across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.33
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsBIC 0–0 DOR · DOR 2–1 BIC · BIC 1–0 DOR · DOR 2–1 BIC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 29 Aug

DOROGI FC

LWWWDW2–4 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–1

BICSKEI

WWWLLW3–1 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 4–5 · 1–3 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dorogi FC11+2226
2Tatabánya11+2026
3Haladás VSE11+2125
4Sárisápi Bányász11+120
5SC Sopron11+518
6Bicskei11+318
7Puskás II11+316
8MTE 190411+316
9Komárom11−215
10Gyori ETO II11+214
11Veszprém11−313
12Zalaegerszegi TE II11−313
13Pápai Perutz11−1211
14Király SZE11−117
15Balatonalmádi11−235
161908 SZAC11−262

The competition's standings before kick-off.