Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › NB III - Northwest › Bicskei v MTE 1904

Back
Hungary flag

Bicskei v MTE 1904

Bicskei
0–0Full time
MTE 1904

NB III - Northwest · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Bicskei 0–0 MTE 1904 MTE 1904 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said MTE 1904 win43%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.899
The market’s Brier score0.901

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said MTE 1904 win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: MTE 1904 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 35–23–43
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Bicskei v MTE 1904
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Bicskei 0–0 MTE 1904
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Bicskei 0–0 MTE 1904
  6. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' MTE 1904 win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
  7. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was MTE 1904 win 36%)
  8. 55′We said MTE 1904 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 27–42–31
  9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 27–42–31
  10. 60′We said MTE 1904 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 25–46–29
  11. 69′We said MTE 1904 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 21–56–24
  12. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' MTE 1904 win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  13. 75′We said MTE 1904 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 17–64–19
  14. 80′We said MTE 1904 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 12–73–14
  15. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' MTE 1904 win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
  16. 84′We said MTE 1904 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–82–9
  17. 91′We said MTE 1904 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
  18. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' MTE 1904 win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  19. FTFULL TIME Bicskei 0–0 MTE 1904
  20. FTBicskei 0–0 MTE 1904 · MTE 1904 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

MTE 1904 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bicskei 35%, draw 23%, MTE 1904 43%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Bicskei v MTE 1904Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bicskei win35%
Draw23%
MTE 1904 win43%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundNorthwest · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bicskei

MTE 1904

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Northwest

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Northwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5MTE 190412+619
7Bicskei12+118

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mte 1904 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
43% The market51%
Us43%
Market51%

We make MTE 1904 a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bicskei v MTE 19041.42 – 1.62
Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 5 SeptW3 D0 L3 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 18 v 197 v 5
The market · MTE 1904 win51% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:18
Our probability · MTE 1904 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bicskei win35%26%+9
Draw23%24%−1
MTE 1904 win43%51%−8
Over 2.5 goals58%61%−3
Both teams to score59%62%−3
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals36%41%−5
Bicskei or draw57%49%+8
Bicskei clean sheet21%––
MTE 1904 clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%
0123450 4.6 8.4 6.2 3.4 1 7.5 10.3 8.5 4.6 2 4.9 7.6 6.0 3.3 3 2.4 3.7 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bicskei down, MTE 1904 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.33
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsMTE 2–1 BIC · BIC 2–2 MTE · MTE 5–2 BIC · BIC 0–2 MTE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 5 Sept

BICSKEI

WWLLWL3–2 · 2–0 · 4–5 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 1–3

MTE 1904

LDLLDW1–3 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dorogi FC12+2429
2Tatabánya12+2129
3Haladás VSE12+2126
4Sárisápi Bányász12020
5MTE 190412+619
6SC Sopron12+318
7Bicskei12+118
8Komárom12−118
9Puskás II12+317
10Zalaegerszegi TE II12−116
11Gyori ETO II12−114
12Veszprém12−513
13Pápai Perutz12−1311
14Király SZE12−910
15Balatonalmádi12−228
161908 SZAC12−272

The competition's standings before kick-off.