Balatonalmádi v Veszprém prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 14:34

Balatonalmádi 0–4 Veszprém VESZPRÉM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Veszprém win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.392

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Veszprém win at 49%.
1′Much as we predicted: Veszprém was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 29–23–49
1′KICK-OFF Balatonalmádi v Veszprém
2′Much as we predicted: Veszprém was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 29–23–49
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Balatonalmádi 0–1 Veszprém
18′16′ and it is 0–1: Veszprém have scored. 0–1 · 11–17–72
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Veszprém win: 49% at kick-off, 72% now
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Veszprém win: 49% at kick-off, 49% now
19′16′ and it is 0–1: Veszprém have scored. 0–1 · 11–17–72
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Veszprém win: 49% at kick-off, 72% now
38′We published Veszprém at 49%. Our model now makes it 73%. 0–1 · 8–18–73
39′We published Veszprém at 49%. Our model now makes it 73%. 0–1 · 8–18–73
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Balatonalmádi 0–2 Veszprém
43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Balatonalmádi 0–3 Veszprém
45′HALF-TIME Balatonalmádi 0–3 Veszprém
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Veszprém win: 49% at kick-off, 73% now
46′SECOND HALF Balatonalmádi 0–3 Veszprém
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Balatonalmádi 0–4 Veszprém
FTFULL TIME Balatonalmádi 0–4 Veszprém
FTBalatonalmádi 0–4 Veszprém · Veszprém win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Balatonalmádi win29%

Draw22%

Veszprém win49%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Balatonalmádi

Veszprém

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Veszprém	10	−7	10
15	Balatonalmádi	10	−19	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · veszprém winPublished 11 Oct 12:12

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Veszprém a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Balatonalmádi win	29%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Veszprém win	49%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Balatonalmádi or draw	51%	–	–
Balatonalmádi clean sheet	17%	–	–
Veszprém clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 3.9 8.0 6.9 4.2 2.0 1 6.1 9.6 9.0 5.5 2.6 2 3.8 6.7 6.0 3.7 3 3.1 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Balatonalmádi down, Veszprém across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,506 NB III - Northwest matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Northwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.5% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Balatonalmádi at home: 0.00 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 3). Veszprém away: 1.33 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.37 goals for Balatonalmádi, 1.85 for Veszprém. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest

BALATONALMÁDI

LLWLDD2–4 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 2–2

VESZPRÉM

LWLLDD2–4 · 3–2 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tatabánya	11	+20	26
2	Haladás VSE	10	+21	24
3	Dorogi FC	10	+21	23
4	Sárisápi Bányász	11	+1	20
5	SC Sopron	11	+5	18
6	Bicskei	11	+3	18
7	MTE 1904	10	+3	15
8	Komárom	11	−2	15
9	Gyori ETO II	10	+3	14
10	Puskás II	10	0	13
11	Zalaegerszegi TE II	11	−3	13
12	Pápai Perutz	11	−12	11
13	Veszprém	10	−7	10
14	Király SZE	10	−8	7
15	Balatonalmádi	10	−19	5
16	1908 SZAC	11	−26	2