1908 SZAC v Balatonalmádi prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 14:51

1908 SZAC 0–1 Balatonalmádi 1908 SZAC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said 1908 SZAC win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.574

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said 1908 SZAC win at 40%.
1′Much as we predicted: 1908 SZAC was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–21–39
1′KICK-OFF 1908 SZAC v Balatonalmádi
44′Balatonalmádi find the net on 44′. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–22–66
44′⚽ GOAL · 44' 1908 SZAC 0–1 Balatonalmádi
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' 1908 SZAC win: 40% at kick-off, 12% now
44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Balatonalmádi win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was 1908 SZAC win 12%)
45′We said 1908 SZAC at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–22–66
45′HALF-TIME 1908 SZAC 0–1 Balatonalmádi
46′SECOND HALF 1908 SZAC 0–1 Balatonalmádi
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' 1908 SZAC win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
53′We said 1908 SZAC at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–69
70′We said 1908 SZAC at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–19–77
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' 1908 SZAC win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
FTFULL TIME 1908 SZAC 0–1 Balatonalmádi
FT1908 SZAC 0–1 Balatonalmádi · 1908 SZAC win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with 1908 SZAC just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: 1908 SZAC 40%, draw 21%, Balatonalmádi 39%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on 1908 SZAC v BalatonalmádiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

1908 SZAC win40%

Draw21%

Balatonalmádi win39%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:00

RoundNorthwest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

1908 SZAC

Balatonalmádi

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Northwest

Last match: 11 Oct · NB III - Northwest

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Balatonalmádi	11	−23	5
16	1908 SZAC	11	−26	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · 1908 szac winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make 1908 SZAC a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · 1908 SZAC v Balatonalmádi~~1.74 – 1.73

~~Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 30 Aug~~W0 D1 L5 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 2 v 5~~16 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
1908 SZAC win	40%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Balatonalmádi win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
1908 SZAC or draw	61%	–	–
1908 SZAC clean sheet	19%	–	–
Balatonalmádi clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.0 6.0 4.7 2.7 1 6.1 8.8 7.8 4.5 2.0 2 4.8 7.8 6.6 3.8 3 2.8 4.6 3.9 2.2 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+1908 SZAC down, Balatonalmádi across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,516 NB III - Northwest matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Northwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.0% of games this season, across 94 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

1908 SZAC at home: 0.20 scored, 3.80 conceded a game (last 5). Balatonalmádi away: 1.50 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for 1908 SZAC, 1.73 for Balatonalmádi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northwest this season · since 30 Aug

1908 SZAC

LDLLLL1–6 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 1–2

BALATONALMÁDI

LWLDDL0–4 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dorogi FC	12	+24	29
2	Tatabánya	12	+21	29
3	Haladás VSE	11	+21	25
4	Sárisápi Bányász	12	0	20
5	MTE 1904	12	+6	19
6	SC Sopron	12	+3	18
7	Bicskei	12	+1	18
8	Komárom	12	−1	18
9	Puskás II	11	+3	16
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	12	−1	16
11	Gyori ETO II	12	−1	14
12	Veszprém	12	−5	13
13	Pápai Perutz	12	−13	11
14	Király SZE	12	−9	10
15	Balatonalmádi	11	−23	5
16	1908 SZAC	11	−26	2