Tiszaújváros v DEAC prediction · NB III - Northeast

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TiszaújvárosDrawDEAC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · DEAC 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

DEAC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tiszaújváros 22%, draw 21%, DEAC 57%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Tiszaújváros v DEACBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Tiszaújváros win22%

Draw21%

DEAC win57%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundNortheast · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tiszaújváros

DEAC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · NB III - Northeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	DEAC	13	+14	26
9	Tiszaújváros	13	−3	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deac winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make DEAC a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tiszaújváros v DEAC~~1.22 – 2.13

~~Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 17 v 26~~9 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tiszaújváros win	22%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
DEAC win	57%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Tiszaújváros or draw	43%	–	–
Tiszaújváros clean sheet	13%	–	–
DEAC clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.2%

0123450 3.9 7.6 7.8 5.5 3.0 1 4.5 9.1 9.2 6.5 3.5 2 2.8 5.5 5.6 3.9 2.1 3 2.3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tiszaújváros down, DEAC across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,582 NB III - Northeast matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Northeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.7% of games this season, across 102 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tiszaújváros at home: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). DEAC away: 2.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Tiszaújváros, 2.13 for DEAC. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TIS 0–1 DEA · DEA 3–0 TIS · TIS 1–2 DEA · DEA 3–1 TIS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 19 Sept

TISZAÚJVÁROS

LWDWLD0–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 0–4 · 2–2

DEAC

WLWWWL4–0 · 2–5 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 3–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	13	+31	33
2	Cigand SE	13	+25	32
3	DEAC	13	+14	26
4	Debrecen II	12	+9	22
5	Gödöllő	13	+8	22
6	Kisvárda II	12	+7	21
7	Mátészalka	13	+6	20
8	Diósgyőr II	13	+3	19
9	Tiszaújváros	13	−3	17
10	Füzesabony	13	−3	17
11	Eger	13	−12	17
12	Salgótarjáni BTC	13	−11	12
13	Tiszafuredi VSE	12	−12	10
14	Hajdúnánás	12	−18	10
15	Tarpa	13	−20	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	13	−24	4