Tiszafuredi VSE v Mátészalka

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tiszafuredi VSE win at 51%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Tiszafuredi VSE 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tiszafuredi VSE v Mátészalka
4. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Tiszafuredi VSE win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Tiszafuredi VSE 0–0 Mátészalka
6. 46′SECOND HALF Tiszafuredi VSE 0–0 Mátészalka
7. 47′We said Tiszafuredi VSE at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–39–22
8. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Tiszafuredi VSE win 37%)
9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.8 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 36–44–20
10. 58′We said Tiszafuredi VSE at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–20
11. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Tiszafuredi VSE win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
12. 66′We said Tiszafuredi VSE at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
13. 72′We said Tiszafuredi VSE at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–62–14
14. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Tiszafuredi VSE win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
15. 77′We said Tiszafuredi VSE at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–69–12
16. 78′Mátészalka are down to ten from 77′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 18–71–11
17. 78′🟥 RED CARD · 77' Mátészalka
18. 81′We said Tiszafuredi VSE at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
19. 83′A second red card for Mátészalka on 83′ — they are down to nine. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 11–81–7
20. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Tiszafuredi VSE win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
21. 83′🟥 RED CARD · 83' Mátészalka
22. 85′We said Tiszafuredi VSE at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
23. 91′We said Tiszafuredi VSE at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
24. FTFULL TIME Tiszafuredi VSE 0–0 Mátészalka
25. FTTiszafuredi VSE 0–0 Mátészalka · Tiszafuredi VSE win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.