Salgótarjáni BTC v Eger prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Salgótarjáni BTC 1–0 Eger SALGÓTARJÁNI BTC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Salgótarjáni BTC win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.532

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Salgótarjáni BTC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Salgótarjáni BTC 41%, draw 24%, Eger 35%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Salgótarjáni BTC v EgerBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Salgótarjáni BTC win41%

Draw24%

Eger win35%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundNortheast · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Salgótarjáni BTC

Eger

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · NB III - Northeast

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Northeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Eger	12	−11	17
14	Salgótarjáni BTC	12	−12	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · salgótarjáni btc winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Salgótarjáni BTC a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Salgótarjáni BTC v Eger~~1.56 – 1.43

~~Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 9 v 17~~14 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Salgótarjáni BTC win

Published at 40%, 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Salgótarjáni BTC win	41%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Eger win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Salgótarjáni BTC or draw	65%	–	–
Salgótarjáni BTC clean sheet	25%	–	–
Eger clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 5.6 7.2 5.2 2.5 1 7.9 11.1 7.7 3.7 2 6.2 8.4 5.9 2.8 3 3.3 4.4 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Salgótarjáni BTC down, Eger across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,576 NB III - Northeast matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Northeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.6% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Salgótarjáni BTC at home: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Eger away: 1.17 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Salgótarjáni BTC, 1.43 for Eger. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~EGE 0–2 SAL · SAL 1–2 EGE · SAL 3–1 EGE · EGE 1–0 SAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 5 Sept

SALGÓTARJÁNI BTC

LWLWLL0–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–4 · 1–2

EGER

LLLWDL0–4 · 0–3 · 1–5 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	12	+28	30
2	Cigand SE	12	+22	29
3	DEAC	12	+17	26
4	Debrecen II	12	+9	22
5	Kisvárda II	12	+7	21
6	Diósgyőr II	12	+6	19
7	Gödöllő	12	+4	19
8	Mátészalka	12	+2	17
9	Eger	12	−11	17
10	Tiszaújváros	12	−3	16
11	Füzesabony	12	−3	16
12	Tiszafuredi VSE	12	−12	10
13	Hajdúnánás	12	−18	10
14	Salgótarjáni BTC	12	−12	9
15	Tarpa	12	−16	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	12	−20	4