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Salgótarjáni BTC v DEAC

Salgótarjáni BTC

1–4Full time

DEAC

NB III - Northeast · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Salgótarjáni BTC 1–4 DEAC DEAC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said DEAC win~~63%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.202

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Salgótarjáni BTC win16%

Draw20%

DEAC win63%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deac winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

63% The market–

Us63%

We make DEAC a 63% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.1, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Salgótarjáni BTC win	16%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
DEAC win	63%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Salgótarjáni BTC or draw	37%	–	–
Salgótarjáni BTC clean sheet	14%	–	–
DEAC clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.8 10.9 10.9 7.5 4.0 1 5.0 9.5 9.2 6.2 3.3 2 2.3 4.3 4.1 2.7 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Salgótarjáni BTC down, DEAC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,560 NB III - Northeast matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Northeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.3% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.17 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Salgótarjáni BTC at home: 0.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). DEAC away: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.88 goals for Salgótarjáni BTC, 2.06 for DEAC. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.17

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~SAL 1–1 DEA · DEA 2–1 SAL · SAL 0–1 DEA · DEA 1–1 SAL

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast

SALGÓTARJÁNI BTC

LLLWLW0–3 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–0

DEAC

DLDWLW1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 2–5 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	10	+24	24
2	Cigand SE	10	+15	23
3	DEAC	10	+12	20
4	Kisvárda II	10	+4	17
5	Debrecen II	10	+4	16
6	Diósgyőr II	10	+4	16
7	Mátészalka	10	+3	16
8	Gödöllő	10	+2	16
9	Eger	10	−9	16
10	Füzesabony	10	−1	15
11	Tiszaújváros	10	−1	13
12	Hajdúnánás	10	−10	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	10	−8	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	10	−9	9
15	Tarpa	10	−14	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	−16	3