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Nyiregyhaza II v Kisvárda II

Nyiregyhaza II
2–2Full time
Kisvárda II

NB III - Northeast · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 12:32
Nyiregyhaza II 2–2 Kisvárda II KISVÁRDA II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kisvárda II win51%
The market said49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.939
The market’s Brier score0.950

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kisvárda II win at 51%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kisvárda II was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 26–22–51
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Nyiregyhaza II v Kisvárda II
  4. 15′Kisvárda II score on 15′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 10–16–74
  5. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Nyiregyhaza II 0–1 Kisvárda II
  6. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 74% now
  7. 16′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 74%. 0–1 · 10–16–74
  8. 22′Nyiregyhaza II find the net on 22′. 1–1. 1–1 · 26–27–48
  9. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Nyiregyhaza II 1–1 Kisvárda II
  10. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 48% now
  11. 34′PENALTY MISSED · 34' Nyiregyhaza II
  12. 45′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–1 · 24–35–41
  13. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Nyiregyhaza II 1–1 Kisvárda II
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Nyiregyhaza II 1–1 Kisvárda II
  16. 50′A goal for Kisvárda II on 50′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 6–17–77
  17. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Nyiregyhaza II 1–2 Kisvárda II
  18. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 77% now
  19. 51′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–2 · 6–17–77
  20. 62′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 4–17–80
  21. 63′Nyiregyhaza II score on 63′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 20–47–33
  22. 63′We said Kisvárda II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 20–47–33
  23. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Nyiregyhaza II 2–2 Kisvárda II
  24. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 33% now
  25. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Kisvárda II win 33%)
  26. 65′GOAL DISALLOWED · 65' Nyiregyhaza II
  27. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
  28. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Kisvárda II win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 16%)
  29. 74′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–2 · 2–13–85
  30. 81′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
  31. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
  32. 88′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  33. 90′Nyiregyhaza II score on 90′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 4–90–6
  34. 90′We said Kisvárda II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 4–90–6
  35. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Nyiregyhaza II 2–2 Kisvárda II
  36. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
  37. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Kisvárda II win 6%)
  38. 92′We said Kisvárda II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 3–93–4
  39. 93′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 2–95–3
  40. FTFULL TIME Nyiregyhaza II 2–2 Kisvárda II
  41. FTNyiregyhaza II 2–2 Kisvárda II · Kisvárda II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kisvárda II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nyiregyhaza II 26%, draw 22%, Kisvárda II 51%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Nyiregyhaza II v Kisvárda IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Nyiregyhaza II win26%
Draw22%
Kisvárda II win51%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 10:00

RoundNortheast · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nyiregyhaza II

Kisvárda II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · NB III - Northeast

Last match: 11 Oct · NB III - Northeast

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Kisvárda II11+720
16Nyiregyhaza II11−203

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kisvárda ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
51% The market49%
Us51%
Market49%

We make Kisvárda II a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Nyiregyhaza II v Kisvárda II1.29 – 1.92
Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 29 AugW0 D0 L6 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 3 v 2016 v 4
The market · Kisvárda II win49% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%50%60%70%80%90% 12 OCT 04:0218 OCT 09:38
Our probability · Kisvárda II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nyiregyhaza II win26%30%−4
Draw22%21%+1
Kisvárda II win51%49%+2
Over 2.5 goals62%71%−9
Both teams to score61%69%−8
Over 1.5 goals82%––
Over 3.5 goals40%52%−12
Nyiregyhaza II or draw49%51%−2
Nyiregyhaza II clean sheet16%––
Kisvárda II clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%
0123450 4.5 7.8 7.4 4.7 2.4 1 5.3 10.0 9.1 5.8 2.9 2 3.6 6.4 5.9 3.7 3 2.8 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nyiregyhaza II down, Kisvárda II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.50 of 4
Both scored0 of 4
Last meetingsNYI 0–2 KIS · KIS 1–0 NYI · NYI 0–1 KIS · KIS 0–2 NYI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 29 Aug

NYIREGYHAZA II

LLLLLL2–3 · 1–5 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–4

KISVÁRDA II

DLWDWW1–1 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ózd Sajóvölgye12+2830
2Cigand SE12+2229
3DEAC12+1726
4Kisvárda II11+720
5Debrecen II11+819
6Diósgyőr II12+619
7Gödöllő12+419
8Mátészalka12+217
9Eger12−1117
10Tiszaújváros12−316
11Füzesabony12−316
12Tiszafuredi VSE12−1210
13Hajdúnánás12−1810
14Salgótarjáni BTC11−119
15Tarpa12−169
16Nyiregyhaza II11−203

The competition's standings before kick-off.