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Nyiregyhaza II v Kisvárda II
Nyiregyhaza II
Kisvárda IINB III - Northeast · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kisvárda II win at 51%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Kisvárda II was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 26–22–51
- 1′KICK-OFF Nyiregyhaza II v Kisvárda II
- 15′Kisvárda II score on 15′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 10–16–74
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Nyiregyhaza II 0–1 Kisvárda II
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 74% now
- 16′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 74%. 0–1 · 10–16–74
- 22′Nyiregyhaza II find the net on 22′. 1–1. 1–1 · 26–27–48
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Nyiregyhaza II 1–1 Kisvárda II
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 48% now
- 34′PENALTY MISSED · 34' Nyiregyhaza II
- 45′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–1 · 24–35–41
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Nyiregyhaza II 1–1 Kisvárda II
- 46′SECOND HALF Nyiregyhaza II 1–1 Kisvárda II
- 50′A goal for Kisvárda II on 50′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 6–17–77
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Nyiregyhaza II 1–2 Kisvárda II
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 77% now
- 51′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–2 · 6–17–77
- 62′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 4–17–80
- 63′Nyiregyhaza II score on 63′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 20–47–33
- 63′We said Kisvárda II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 20–47–33
- 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Nyiregyhaza II 2–2 Kisvárda II
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 33% now
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Kisvárda II win 33%)
- 65′GOAL DISALLOWED · 65' Nyiregyhaza II
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
- 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Kisvárda II win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 16%)
- 74′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–2 · 2–13–85
- 81′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
- 88′We published Kisvárda II at 51%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
- 90′Nyiregyhaza II score on 90′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 4–90–6
- 90′We said Kisvárda II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 4–90–6
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Nyiregyhaza II 2–2 Kisvárda II
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Kisvárda II win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
- 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Kisvárda II win 6%)
- 92′We said Kisvárda II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 3–93–4
- 93′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 2–95–3
- FTFULL TIME Nyiregyhaza II 2–2 Kisvárda II
- FTNyiregyhaza II 2–2 Kisvárda II · Kisvárda II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Kisvárda II are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Nyiregyhaza II 26%, draw 22%, Kisvárda II 51%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Nyiregyhaza II win26%
Kisvárda II win51%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 10:00
RoundNortheast · matchday 12
Match timeline
All events
Nyiregyhaza IIMIN
Kisvárda IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Nyiregyhaza II
Kisvárda II
Last match: 11 Oct · NB III - Northeast
Last match: 11 Oct · NB III - Northeast
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kisvárda II a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nyiregyhaza II win | 26% | 30% | −4 |
| Draw | 22% | 21% | +1 |
| Kisvárda II win | 51% | 49% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 71% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 69% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 52% | −12 |
| Nyiregyhaza II or draw | 49% | 51% | −2 |
| Nyiregyhaza II clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Kisvárda II clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 29 Aug
NYIREGYHAZA II
KISVÁRDA II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 12 | +28 | 30 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 12 | +22 | 29 |
| 3 | DEAC | 12 | +17 | 26 |
| 4 | Kisvárda II | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Debrecen II | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 | Diósgyőr II | 12 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Gödöllő | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 | Mátészalka | 12 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Eger | 12 | −11 | 17 |
| 10 | Tiszaújváros | 12 | −3 | 16 |
| 11 | Füzesabony | 12 | −3 | 16 |
| 12 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 12 | −12 | 10 |
| 13 | Hajdúnánás | 12 | −18 | 10 |
| 14 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 11 | −11 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 12 | −16 | 9 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 11 | −20 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Ózd Sajóvölgye
Cigand SE
DEAC
Debrecen II
Diósgyőr II
Gödöllő
Mátészalka
Eger
Tiszaújváros
Füzesabony
Tiszafuredi VSE
Hajdúnánás
Salgótarjáni BTC
Tarpa