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Model 1.1

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Kisvárda II v Tarpa

Kisvárda II
3–0Full time
Tarpa

NB III - Northeast · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 12:33
Kisvárda II 3–0 Tarpa KISVÁRDA II WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kisvárda II win61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.234

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kisvárda II win at 61%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kisvárda II 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–24–15
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Kisvárda II v Tarpa
  4. 19′⚽ GOAL · 18' Kisvárda II 1–0 Tarpa
  5. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Kisvárda II 2–0 Tarpa
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Kisvárda II 2–0 Tarpa
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Kisvárda II 2–0 Tarpa
  8. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Kisvárda II 3–0 Tarpa
  9. 78′🟥 RED CARD · 78' Tarpa
  10. FTFULL TIME Kisvárda II 3–0 Tarpa
  11. FTKisvárda II 3–0 Tarpa · Kisvárda II win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Kisvárda II win61%
Draw24%
Tarpa win15%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 10:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kisvárda II

Tarpa

8Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Kisvárda II10+417
15Tarpa10−146

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kisvárda ii winPublished 11 Oct 09:34
61% The market–
Us61%

We make Kisvárda II a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kisvárda II win61%––
Draw24%––
Tarpa win15%––
Over 2.5 goals42%––
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals22%––
Kisvárda II or draw85%––
Kisvárda II clean sheet51%––
Tarpa clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.6%
0123450 9.9 6.5 2.3 1 15.6 10.6 3.7 2 13.0 8.7 3.1 3 7.4 4.9 4 3.2 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kisvárda II down, Tarpa across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsTAR 0–0 KIS · KIS 0–2 TAR

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast

KISVÁRDA II

DDLWDW1–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0

TARPA

LLLLWL0–3 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Cigand SE11+1626
2Ózd Sajóvölgye10+2424
3DEAC11+1523
4Gödöllő11+519
5Kisvárda II10+417
6Eger11−917
7Debrecen II10+416
8Diósgyőr II10+416
9Mátészalka11+216
10Füzesabony11−116
11Tiszaújváros10−113
12Hajdúnánás10−1010
13Salgótarjáni BTC11−119
14Tiszafuredi VSE11−129
15Tarpa10−146
16Nyiregyhaza II10−163

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.