Kisvárda II v Debrecen II prediction · NB III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kisvárda IIDrawDebrecen II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kisvárda II 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kisvárda II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kisvárda II 52%, draw 22%, Debrecen II 25%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Kisvárda II v Debrecen IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Kisvárda II win52%

Draw22%

Debrecen II win25%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 10:00

RoundNortheast · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kisvárda II

Debrecen II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · NB III - Northeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Debrecen II	12	+9	22
6	Kisvárda II	12	+7	21

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kisvárda ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Kisvárda II a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kisvárda II v Debrecen II~~1.91 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 21 v 22~~6 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kisvárda II win	52%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Debrecen II win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Kisvárda II or draw	75%	–	–
Kisvárda II clean sheet	29%	–	–
Debrecen II clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%

0123450 4.6 5.4 3.4 1 8.2 10.1 6.2 2.6 2 7.7 9.3 5.8 2.5 3 4.9 5.9 3.7 4 2.4 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kisvárda II down, Debrecen II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,582 NB III - Northeast matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Northeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.7% of games this season, across 102 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.70 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kisvárda II at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Debrecen II away: 1.33 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Kisvárda II, 1.25 for Debrecen II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~KIS 4–1 DEB · DEB 1–2 KIS · DEB 1–2 KIS · KIS 1–1 DEB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 5 Sept

KISVÁRDA II

LWDWWD2–3 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 2–2

DEBRECEN II

WLWWWW3–1 · 2–4 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	13	+31	33
2	Cigand SE	13	+25	32
3	DEAC	13	+14	26
4	Debrecen II	12	+9	22
5	Gödöllő	13	+8	22
6	Kisvárda II	12	+7	21
7	Mátészalka	13	+6	20
8	Diósgyőr II	13	+3	19
9	Tiszaújváros	13	−3	17
10	Füzesabony	13	−3	17
11	Eger	13	−12	17
12	Salgótarjáni BTC	13	−11	12
13	Tiszafuredi VSE	12	−12	10
14	Hajdúnánás	12	−18	10
15	Tarpa	13	−20	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	13	−24	4