Hajdúnánás v Tiszaújváros prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 14:34

Hajdúnánás 1–3 Tiszaújváros HAJDÚNÁNÁS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hajdúnánás win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.699

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hajdúnánás win at 46%.
1′Much as we predicted: Hajdúnánás was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–21–33
1′KICK-OFF Hajdúnánás v Tiszaújváros
2′Much as we predicted: Hajdúnánás was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–21–33
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Hajdúnánás 0–1 Tiszaújváros
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Hajdúnánás 0–2 Tiszaújváros
39′A goal for Tiszaújváros on 34′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 5–11–83
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Hajdúnánás win: 46% at kick-off, 5% now
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Tiszaújváros win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Hajdúnánás win 5%)
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Hajdúnánás win: 46% at kick-off, 44% now
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Hajdúnánás win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Tiszaújváros win 32%)
40′A goal for Tiszaújváros on 34′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 5–11–83
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Hajdúnánás win: 46% at kick-off, 5% now
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Tiszaújváros win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Hajdúnánás win 5%)
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Hajdúnánás win: 46% at kick-off, 44% now
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Hajdúnánás win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Tiszaújváros win 32%)
45′HALF-TIME Hajdúnánás 0–2 Tiszaújváros
46′SECOND HALF Hajdúnánás 0–2 Tiszaújváros
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Hajdúnánás win: 46% at kick-off, 5% now
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Tiszaújváros win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Hajdúnánás win 5%)
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Hajdúnánás win: 46% at kick-off, 5% now
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Tiszaújváros win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Hajdúnánás win 5%)
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Hajdúnánás 1–2 Tiszaújváros
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Hajdúnánás 1–3 Tiszaújváros
FTFULL TIME Hajdúnánás 1–3 Tiszaújváros
FTHajdúnánás 1–3 Tiszaújváros · Hajdúnánás win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Hajdúnánás win46%

Draw21%

Tiszaújváros win33%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hajdúnánás

Tiszaújváros

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Tiszaújváros	10	−1	13
12	Hajdúnánás	10	−10	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hajdúnánás winPublished 11 Oct 12:12

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Hajdúnánás a 46% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hajdúnánás win	46%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Tiszaújváros win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Hajdúnánás or draw	67%	–	–
Hajdúnánás clean sheet	19%	–	–
Tiszaújváros clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.7 4.2 3.6 2.0 1 4.9 8.2 6.8 3.9 2 4.9 8.1 6.7 3.9 3 3.3 5.4 4.6 2.6 4 2.8 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hajdúnánás down, Tiszaújváros across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,564 NB III - Northeast matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Northeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.7% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Hajdúnánás at home: 2.50 scored, 1.25 conceded a game (last 4). Tiszaújváros away: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.04 goals for Hajdúnánás, 1.72 for Tiszaújváros. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast

HAJDÚNÁNÁS

WDLLWL3–0 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 5–1 · 0–9

TISZAÚJVÁROS

WWLLWD3–0 · 3–2 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cigand SE	11	+16	26
2	Ózd Sajóvölgye	10	+24	24
3	DEAC	11	+15	23
4	Gödöllő	11	+5	19
5	Kisvárda II	10	+4	17
6	Eger	11	−9	17
7	Debrecen II	10	+4	16
8	Diósgyőr II	10	+4	16
9	Mátészalka	11	+2	16
10	Füzesabony	11	−1	16
11	Tiszaújváros	10	−1	13
12	Hajdúnánás	10	−10	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	11	−11	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	11	−12	9
15	Tarpa	10	−14	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	−16	3