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Füzesabony v Eger

Füzesabony

1–1Full time

Eger

NB III - Northeast · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Füzesabony 1–1 Eger FÜZESABONY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Füzesabony win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.865

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Füzesabony win at 47%.
1′KICK-OFF Füzesabony v Eger
2′Much as we predicted: Füzesabony was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–25–28
18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Füzesabony 0–1 Eger
21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Füzesabony 1–1 Eger
23′A goal for Füzesabony on 21′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 43–30–27
45′🟥 RED CARD · 46' Eger
45′HALF-TIME Füzesabony 1–1 Eger
47′SECOND HALF Füzesabony 1–1 Eger
49′A red card for Eger on 45′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 36–41–24
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Füzesabony win: 47% at kick-off, 36% now
49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Füzesabony win 36%)
70′We said Füzesabony at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–17
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Füzesabony win: 47% at kick-off, 24% now
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Füzesabony 1–2 Eger
86′🟥 RED CARD · 86' Eger
89′Eger are down to ten from 86′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 2–97–1
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Füzesabony win: 47% at kick-off, 2% now
FTFULL TIME Füzesabony 1–1 Eger
FTFüzesabony 1–1 Eger · Füzesabony win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Füzesabony win47%

Draw25%

Eger win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · füzesabony winPublished 10 Oct 12:19

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Füzesabony a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Füzesabony win	47%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Eger win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Füzesabony or draw	72%	–	–
Füzesabony clean sheet	32%	–	–
Eger clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.8 7.4 4.3 1 10.1 11.6 6.6 2.6 2 8.0 9.1 5.2 2.1 3 4.3 4.9 2.8 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Füzesabony down, Eger across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,560 NB III - Northeast matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Northeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.3% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.25 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Füzesabony at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Eger away: 1.17 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Füzesabony, 1.16 for Eger. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~FUZ 1–2 EGE · EGE 0–1 FUZ · EGE 2–1 FUZ · FUZ 0–2 EGE

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast

FÜZESABONY

LWWLWL0–1 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–3

EGER

LDLLLW2–5 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 1–5 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	10	+24	24
2	Cigand SE	10	+15	23
3	DEAC	10	+12	20
4	Kisvárda II	10	+4	17
5	Debrecen II	10	+4	16
6	Diósgyőr II	10	+4	16
7	Mátészalka	10	+3	16
8	Gödöllő	10	+2	16
9	Eger	10	−9	16
10	Füzesabony	10	−1	15
11	Tiszaújváros	10	−1	13
12	Hajdúnánás	10	−10	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	10	−8	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	10	−9	9
15	Tarpa	10	−14	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	−16	3