Eger v DEAC prediction · NB III - Northeast

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

Eger 1–3 DEAC DEAC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said DEAC win~~64%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.189

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

DEAC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eger 18%, draw 18%, DEAC 64%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Eger v DEACBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Eger win18%

Draw18%

DEAC win64%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundNortheast · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eger

DEAC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · NB III - Northeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	DEAC	11	+15	23
7	Eger	11	−9	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deac winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make DEAC a 64% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eger v DEAC~~1.19 – 2.50

~~Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 17 v 23~~7 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eger win	18%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
DEAC win	64%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Eger or draw	36%	–	–
Eger clean sheet	10%	–	–
DEAC clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.8%

0123450 2.9 6.5 7.6 6.1 3.9 2.11 3.4 7.6 8.8 7.1 4.5 2.42 2.0 4.5 5.2 4.2 2.6 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eger down, DEAC across0–5 goals a side shown (94.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,568 NB III - Northeast matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB III - Northeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.5% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.40 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eger at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). DEAC away: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for Eger, 2.50 for DEAC. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~EGE 4–3 DEA · DEA 2–0 EGE · DEA 2–1 EGE · EGE 0–0 DEA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 29 Aug

EGER

DLLLWD1–1 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 1–5 · 2–1 · 1–1

DEAC

LDWLWW1–2 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 2–5 · 3–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	11	+26	27
2	Cigand SE	11	+16	26
3	DEAC	11	+15	23
4	Kisvárda II	11	+7	20
5	Debrecen II	11	+8	19
6	Gödöllő	11	+5	19
7	Eger	11	−9	17
8	Diósgyőr II	11	+2	16
9	Mátészalka	11	+2	16
10	Tiszaújváros	11	+1	16
11	Füzesabony	11	−1	16
12	Hajdúnánás	11	−12	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	11	−11	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	11	−12	9
15	Tarpa	11	−17	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	11	−20	3