Debrecen II v Nyiregyhaza II prediction · NB III

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:09

Debrecen II 4–0 Nyiregyhaza II DEBRECEN II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Debrecen II win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.180

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Debrecen II win65%

Draw16%

Nyiregyhaza II win19%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 10:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Debrecen II

Nyiregyhaza II

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Debrecen II	10	+4	16
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	−16	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · debrecen ii winPublished 11 Oct 12:33

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Debrecen II a 65% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Debrecen II win	65%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Nyiregyhaza II win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	83%	–	–
Both teams to score	76%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	68%	–	–
Debrecen II or draw	81%	–	–
Debrecen II clean sheet	20%	–	–
Nyiregyhaza II clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 6.9%

0123450 1 3.1 4.8 3.9 2.1 2 4.4 6.9 5.5 3.0 3 4.3 6.7 5.4 2.9 4 3.2 5.0 4.1 2.3 5 2.0 3.2 2.6

under 2% 5% 12%+Debrecen II down, Nyiregyhaza II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,564 NB III - Northeast matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB III - Northeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.7% of games this season, across 84 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 4.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Debrecen II at home: 3.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Nyiregyhaza II away: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.07 goals for Debrecen II, 1.64 for Nyiregyhaza II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~DEB 5–1 NYI · NYI 3–3 DEB · DEB 1–0 NYI · NYI 3–2 DEB

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast

DEBRECEN II

WLWLWW5–2 · 2–5 · 3–1 · 2–4 · 3–1 · 2–1

NYIREGYHAZA II

LLLLLL0–5 · 2–3 · 1–5 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cigand SE	11	+16	26
2	Ózd Sajóvölgye	10	+24	24
3	DEAC	11	+15	23
4	Gödöllő	11	+5	19
5	Kisvárda II	10	+4	17
6	Eger	11	−9	17
7	Debrecen II	10	+4	16
8	Diósgyőr II	10	+4	16
9	Mátészalka	11	+2	16
10	Füzesabony	11	−1	16
11	Tiszaújváros	10	−1	13
12	Hajdúnánás	10	−10	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	11	−11	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	11	−12	9
15	Tarpa	10	−14	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	−16	3