Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › NB III - Northeast › DEAC v Ózd Sajóvölgye

Back
Hungary flag

DEAC v Ózd Sajóvölgye

DEAC
0–3Full time
Ózd Sajóvölgye

NB III - Northeast · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
DEAC 0–3 Ózd Sajóvölgye DEAC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said DEAC win61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.039

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said DEAC win at 61%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: DEAC was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–18–21
  3. 1′KICK-OFF DEAC v Ózd Sajóvölgye
  4. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' DEAC win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
  5. 45′HALF-TIME DEAC 0–0 Ózd Sajóvölgye
  6. 46′SECOND HALF DEAC 0–0 Ózd Sajóvölgye
  7. 47′We said DEAC at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–30–21
  8. 51′Ózd Sajóvölgye score on 50′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 21–27–53
  9. 51′We said DEAC at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–27–53
  10. 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' DEAC 0–1 Ózd Sajóvölgye
  11. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' DEAC win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
  12. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Ózd Sajóvölgye win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was DEAC win 48%)
  13. 53′We said DEAC at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–54
  14. 54′Ózd Sajóvölgye find the net on 54′. 0–2. 0–2 · 6–13–81
  15. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' DEAC 0–2 Ózd Sajóvölgye
  16. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' DEAC win: 61% at kick-off, 6% now
  17. 55′We said DEAC at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–13–82
  18. 59′We said DEAC at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–84
  19. 66′A goal for Ózd Sajóvölgye on 66′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–2–97
  20. 66′Goals are coming at about the 4.1 we expected. 0–3 · 0–2–97
  21. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' DEAC 0–3 Ózd Sajóvölgye
  22. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' DEAC win: 61% at kick-off, under 1% now
  23. FTFULL TIME DEAC 0–3 Ózd Sajóvölgye
  24. FTDEAC 0–3 Ózd Sajóvölgye · DEAC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

DEAC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: DEAC 61%, draw 18%, Ózd Sajóvölgye 21%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on DEAC v Ózd SajóvölgyeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

DEAC win61%
Draw18%
Ózd Sajóvölgye win21%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundNortheast · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

DEAC

Ózd Sajóvölgye

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Northeast

Last match: 17 Oct · NB III - Northeast

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ózd Sajóvölgye12+2830
3DEAC12+1726

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deac winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
61% The market–
Us61%

We make DEAC a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · DEAC v Ózd Sajóvölgye2.62 – 1.48
Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 5 SeptW4 D1 L1 · W5 D0 L1
Table places · points 26 v 303 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
DEAC win61%––
Draw18%––
Ózd Sajóvölgye win21%––
Over 2.5 goals77%––
Both teams to score70%––
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals58%––
DEAC or draw79%––
DEAC clean sheet24%––
Ózd Sajóvölgye clean sheet8%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%
0123450 2.6 1 4.6 6.6 4.7 2.3 2 5.8 8.2 5.9 2.9 3 4.9 7.0 5.1 2.5 4 3.2 4.6 3.3 5 2.5
under 2% 5% 12%+DEAC down, Ózd Sajóvölgye across0–5 goals a side shown (93.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsDEA 1–2 OZD · OZD 0–1 DEA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB III - Northeast this season · since 5 Sept

DEAC

DWLWWW1–1 · 4–0 · 2–5 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 3–1

ÓZD SAJÓVÖLGYE

WWLWWW3–2 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 9–0 · 3–1 · 4–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ózd Sajóvölgye12+2830
2Cigand SE12+2229
3DEAC12+1726
4Debrecen II12+922
5Kisvárda II12+721
6Diósgyőr II12+619
7Gödöllő12+419
8Mátészalka12+217
9Eger12−1117
10Tiszaújváros12−316
11Füzesabony12−316
12Tiszafuredi VSE12−1210
13Hajdúnánás12−1810
14Salgótarjáni BTC12−129
15Tarpa12−169
16Nyiregyhaza II12−204

The competition's standings before kick-off.