Tiszakecske FC v Fehérvár FC prediction · NB II

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Tiszakecske FCDrawFehérvár FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Tiszakecske FC 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tiszakecske FC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tiszakecske FC 42%, draw 25%, Fehérvár FC 33%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Tiszakecske FC v Fehérvár FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Tiszakecske FC win42%

Draw25%

Fehérvár FC win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tiszakecske FC

Fehérvár FC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · NB II

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tiszakecske FC	11	+9	23
10	Fehérvár FC	11	+1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tiszakecske fc winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Tiszakecske FC a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tiszakecske FC v Fehérvár FC~~1.44 – 1.24

~~Form · last six in NB II this season · since 29 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 23 v 12~~2 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tiszakecske FC win	42%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Fehérvár FC win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Tiszakecske FC or draw	67%	–	–
Tiszakecske FC clean sheet	29%	–	–
Fehérvár FC clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.8 8.9 5.3 2.2 1 10.2 11.8 7.5 3.1 2 7.1 8.6 5.3 2.2 3 3.4 4.2 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tiszakecske FC down, Fehérvár FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,638 NB II matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB II matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.0% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tiszakecske FC at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Fehérvár FC away: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Tiszakecske FC, 1.24 for Fehérvár FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TIS 1–1 FEH · FEH 5–0 TIS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB II this season · since 29 Aug

TISZAKECSKE FC

WWDWWD2–1 · 2–0 · 3–3 · 4–3 · 1–0 · 2–2

FEHÉRVÁR FC

LWLWLL1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Soroksar	11	+14	24
2	Tiszakecske FC	11	+9	23
3	Kecskeméti TE	11	+9	23
4	Kazincbarcikai	11	+6	20
5	Gyirmot SE	11	+1	20
6	Ajka	11	+2	18
7	Mezokovesd-zsory	10	+5	17
8	Diosgyori VTK	11	−2	15
9	Szentlőrinc SE	11	−3	14
10	Fehérvár FC	11	+1	12
11	BVSC	10	−1	11
12	Karcag SE	11	−5	11
13	Szeged 2011	10	−4	10
14	Nagykanizsai ULE	11	−8	9
15	Kozarmisleny FC	11	−11	7
16	Csakvar	10	−13	4