Tiszakecske FC v Csakvar prediction · NB II

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42

Tiszakecske FC 1–0 Csakvar TISZAKECSKE FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tiszakecske FC win~~51%

~~The market said~~64%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.357

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.191

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tiszakecske FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tiszakecske FC 51%, draw 22%, Csakvar 26%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Tiszakecske FC v CsakvarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Tiszakecske FC win51%

Draw22%

Csakvar win26%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 10

Line-ups

Tiszakecske FC

Csakvar

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tiszakecske FC

Csakvar

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · NB II

Last match: 11 Oct · NB II

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Tiszakecske FC	9	+8	19
16	Csakvar	9	−12	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Tiszakecske FC

Formation not confirmed

31 A. Kiss

6 P. Milicz

7 Myke

8 Lucas

13 K. Polgar

17 A. Szeker

25 N. Baranyai

33 J. Varga

35 V. Visinka

38 B. Sos

77 B. Pataki

Coach · Csaba Pinter

Substitutes

22 · D. Esery

4 · Z. Eger

5 · M. Heil

9 · T. Takacs

10 · E. Horvath

11 · D. Wirth

26 · B. Terbe

47 · N. Usai

88 · D. Balla

Csakvar

Formation not confirmed

61 M. Bozo

3 K. Lakatos

5 B. Schmidtka

11 P. Benko

13 Z. Sipos

16 D. Meszaros

22 M. Helembai

23 K. Mondovics

24 N. Dencinger

74 B. Komlosi

77 G. Major

Coach · Andras Berndt

Substitutes

12 · J. Takacs

31 · A. Weidinger

14 · B. Somfalvi

15 · D. Asvanyi

17 · B. Vas

19 · D. Zahoran

32 · M. Radics

37 · K. Koppany

57 · E. Hollo

70 · A. Kancsij

76 · M. Nemes

78 · G. Ban

Our number · tiszakecske fc winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

51% The market64%

Us51%

~~Market~~64%

We make Tiszakecske FC a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 13 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tiszakecske FC v Csakvar~~1.84 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in NB II this season · since 16 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 19 v 4~~3 v 16

~~The market · Tiszakecske FC win~~64% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Tiszakecske FC win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tiszakecske FC win	51%	64%	−13
Draw	22%	21%	+1
Csakvar win	26%	15%	+11
Over 2.5 goals	59%	61%	−2
Both teams to score	59%	54%	+5
Over 1.5 goals	81%	81%	0
Over 3.5 goals	37%	40%	−3
Tiszakecske FC or draw	74%	85%	−11
Tiszakecske FC clean sheet	29%	–	–
Csakvar clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.5 6.0 3.6 1 8.6 10.2 6.5 2.7 2 7.7 9.4 5.9 2.5 3 4.7 5.8 3.6 4 2.2 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tiszakecske FC down, Csakvar across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,623 NB II matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB II matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.1% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.38 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tiszakecske FC at home: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Csakvar away: 0.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.84 goals for Tiszakecske FC, 1.25 for Csakvar. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.38

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~TIS 1–2 CSA · CSA 3–1 TIS · CSA 1–2 TIS · TIS 1–1 CSA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB II this season · since 16 Aug

TISZAKECSKE FC

DWWWDW3–3 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 3–3 · 4–3

CSAKVAR

LLLDLL2–3 · 0–2 · 0–6 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Soroksar	9	+13	20
2	Kecskeméti TE	10	+6	20
3	Tiszakecske FC	9	+8	19
4	Mezokovesd-zsory	10	+5	17
5	Kazincbarcikai	9	+5	16
6	Gyirmot SE	9	0	16
7	Ajka	9	+2	15
8	Fehérvár FC	9	+3	12
9	Karcag SE	9	−1	11
10	Szentlőrinc SE	9	−4	11
11	Diosgyori VTK	9	−5	11
12	Nagykanizsai ULE	10	−7	9
13	BVSC	8	−2	7
14	Szeged 2011	8	−2	7
15	Kozarmisleny FC	10	−9	7
16	Csakvar	9	−12	4