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Mezokovesd-zsory v Szeged 2011

Mezokovesd-zsory

1–1Full time

Szeged 2011

NB II · SAT 10 OCT · Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Mezokovesd-zsory 1–1 Szeged 2011 MEZOKOVESD-ZSORY WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Mezokovesd-zsory win~~44%

~~The market said~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.780

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.725

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Mezokovesd-zsory win at 44%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Mezokovesd-zsory 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–30–27
2′KICK-OFF Mezokovesd-zsory v Szeged 2011
14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Mezokovesd-zsory 1–0 Szeged 2011
23′15′ and it is 1–0: R. Hajdu on the scoresheet for Mezokovesd-zsory. 1–0 · 75–18–7
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Mezokovesd-zsory win: 44% at kick-off, 75% now
40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Szeged 2011
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Mezokovesd-zsory win: 44% at kick-off, 75% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Mezokovesd-zsory win: 44% at kick-off, 75% now
45′HALF-TIME Mezokovesd-zsory 1–0 Szeged 2011
46′SECOND HALF Mezokovesd-zsory 1–0 Szeged 2011
47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Mezokovesd-zsory 1–1 Szeged 2011
56′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Szeged 2011 · On: M. Ryashko · Off: V. Vekony
56′⚽ GOAL · 47' Mezokovesd-zsory 1–1 Szeged 2011 · M. Adam
58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Szeged 2011
58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Mezokovesd-zsory
65′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Mezokovesd-zsory · On: A. Pinter · Off: B. Voros
72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Szeged 2011 · On: K. Toth-Gabor · Off: M. Adam
73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Mezokovesd-zsory
81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Mezokovesd-zsory · On: Z. Keresztes · Off: P. Kovacs
81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Mezokovesd-zsory · On: M. Silling · Off: R. Hajdu
90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Szeged 2011
FTFULL TIME Mezokovesd-zsory 1–1 Szeged 2011
FTMezokovesd-zsory 1–1 Szeged 2011 · Mezokovesd-zsory win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Mezokovesd-zsory win44%

Draw29%

Szeged 2011 win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

Venue · Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Mezokovesd-zsory

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Deczki

5 B. Voros

6 B. Rab

7 I. Csirmaz

8 G. Ottucsak

20 P. Zachan

41 B. Keresztes

77 S. Vajda

79 P. Kovacs

81 Z. Varjas

97 R. Hajdu

Coach · Aurel Csertoi

Substitutes

75 · D. Winter

9 · Z. Keresztes

10 · A. Lorinczy

14 · T. Csomos

16 · A. Pinter

21 · P. Ternovan

30 · M. Silling

45 · M. Juracsik

67 · V. Csorgo

70 · G. Csatari

11 · C. Zsilvolgyi

Szeged 2011

Formation not confirmed

1 I. B. Mate

6 P. Posztobanyi

9 M. Adam

14 A. Szabo

18 D. Miskolczi

22 D. Zimonyi

23 I. A. Szeles

28 R. Miklo

30 V. Vekony

55 B. Toth

88 D. Markvart

Coach · Zsolt Laczko

Substitutes

37 · R. Prokop

3 · M. Sandor

5 · P. Plesko

7 · V. Haragos

10 · B. Bodnar

11 · K. Toth-Gabor

13 · R. Rabatin

17 · M. Zekic

27 · D. Cubra

32 · M. Ryashko

33 · O. Kalmar

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Mezokovesd-zsory

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Deczki

5 B. Voros

6 B. Rab

7 I. Csirmaz

8 G. Ottucsak

20 P. Zachan

41 B. Keresztes

77 S. Vajda

79 P. Kovacs

81 Z. Varjas

97 R. Hajdu

Coach · Aurel Csertoi

Substitutes

75 · D. Winter

9 · Z. Keresztes

10 · A. Lorinczy

14 · T. Csomos

16 · A. Pinter

21 · P. Ternovan

30 · M. Silling

45 · M. Juracsik

67 · V. Csorgo

70 · G. Csatari

11 · C. Zsilvolgyi

Szeged 2011

Formation not confirmed

1 I. B. Mate

6 P. Posztobanyi

9 M. Adam

14 A. Szabo

18 D. Miskolczi

22 D. Zimonyi

23 I. A. Szeles

28 R. Miklo

30 V. Vekony

55 B. Toth

88 D. Markvart

Coach · Zsolt Laczko

Substitutes

37 · R. Prokop

3 · M. Sandor

5 · P. Plesko

7 · V. Haragos

10 · B. Bodnar

11 · K. Toth-Gabor

13 · R. Rabatin

17 · M. Zekic

27 · D. Cubra

32 · M. Ryashko

33 · O. Kalmar

Our number · mezokovesd-zsory winPublished 10 Oct 15:43

44% The market40%

Us44%

~~Market~~40%

We make Mezokovesd-zsory a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · mezokovesd-zsory win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 42% to 40% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mezokovesd-zsory win	44%	40%	+4
Draw	29%	31%	−2
Szeged 2011 win	27%	29%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	36%	42%	−6
Both teams to score	41%	49%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	62%	66%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	17%	24%	−7
Mezokovesd-zsory or draw	73%	71%	+2
Mezokovesd-zsory clean sheet	41%	–	–
Szeged 2011 clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.0%

0123450 11.9 11.0 4.8 1 15.0 12.6 5.8 2 9.0 7.9 3.6 3 3.8 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mezokovesd-zsory down, Szeged 2011 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,613 NB II matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB II matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.5% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mezokovesd-zsory at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Szeged 2011 away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.23 goals for Mezokovesd-zsory, 0.89 for Szeged 2011. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SZE 1–2 MEZ · MEZ 1–0 SZE · SZE 1–0 MEZ · MEZ 1–2 SZE

Form · last six in NB II

MEZOKOVESD-ZSORY

LWWWLW0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 4–2 · 0–2 · 4–1

SZEGED 2011

LLWDDL0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Soroksar	8	+16	20
2	Kecskeméti TE	8	+7	17
3	Tiszakecske FC	8	+7	16
4	Ajka	7	+3	14
5	Kazincbarcikai	8	+2	13
6	Gyirmot SE	8	−1	13
7	Mezokovesd-zsory	7	+3	12
8	Karcag SE	8	+2	11
9	Szentlőrinc SE	7	−1	10
10	Fehérvár FC	8	0	9
11	Nagykanizsai ULE	8	−3	9
12	Diosgyori VTK	7	−7	7
13	Szeged 2011	7	−2	6
14	BVSC	7	−5	4
15	Kozarmisleny FC	8	−10	4
16	Csakvar	8	−11	4