Home › Football › NB II › Kozarmisleny FC v Diosgyori VTK

Kozarmisleny FC v Diosgyori VTK

Kozarmisleny FC

0–2Full time

Diosgyori VTK

NB II · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Kozarmisleny FC 0–2 Diosgyori VTK KOZARMISLENY FC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kozarmisleny FC win~~41%

~~The market said~~26%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.639

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.421

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kozarmisleny FC win at 41%.
1′Much as we predicted: Kozarmisleny FC was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–24–35
1′KICK-OFF Kozarmisleny FC v Diosgyori VTK
15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Kozarmisleny FC 0–0 Diosgyori VTK
22′A goal for Diosgyori VTK on 14′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 38–28–34
32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Diosgyori VTK
45′HALF-TIME Kozarmisleny FC 0–0 Diosgyori VTK
46′SECOND HALF Kozarmisleny FC 0–0 Diosgyori VTK
47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Kozarmisleny FC 0–1 Diosgyori VTK
62′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Kozarmisleny FC · On: K. Kirchner · Off: B. Zamostny
62′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Kozarmisleny FC · On: B. Vogyicska · Off: P. Molnar
62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Diosgyori VTK · On: Z. Medgyes · Off: Z. Galfi
68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Diosgyori VTK · On: L. Vass · Off: T. Galantai
68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Diosgyori VTK · On: A. Benyei · Off: G. Molnar
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Kozarmisleny FC 0–2 Diosgyori VTK
81′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Diosgyori VTK · On: A. Borveto · Off: B. Babinszky
87′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Kozarmisleny FC · On: Z. Csucsanszky · Off: P. Szucs
87′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Kozarmisleny FC · On: B. Geiger · Off: K. Laszlo
87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Diosgyori VTK
87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Kozarmisleny FC
90′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Diosgyori VTK
FTFULL TIME Kozarmisleny FC 0–2 Diosgyori VTK
FTKozarmisleny FC 0–2 Diosgyori VTK · Kozarmisleny FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Kozarmisleny FC win41%

Draw23%

Diosgyori VTK win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Kozarmisleny FC

Formation not confirmed

66 S. Lekai

10 B. Zamostny

14 P. Molnar

17 M. Biro

24 D. Kocsis

55 G. Stumpf

7 P. Szucs

70 K. Laszlo

77 T. Turi

81 R. Vajda

90 C. Feher

Coach · Matyas Czuczi

Substitutes

1 · M. Toth

6 · K. Kirchner

8 · B. Vogyicska

20 · Z. Debreceni

21 · B. Herczeg

22 · B. Kozics

23 · D. Bene

26 · B. Geiger

28 · Z. Csucsanszky

41 · M. Katai-Urban

99 · R. Jelena

Diosgyori VTK

Formation not confirmed

99 D. Grof

6 B. Bardos

7 B. Babinszky

10 G. Molnar

11 Z. Galfi

21 T. Galantai

22 S. Bokros

25 G. Holdampf

26 M. Szekszardi

87 M. Revesz

3 C. Szatmari

Coach · Tamas Feczko

Substitutes

4 · A. Kecskes

8 · L. Vass

9 · Z. Medgyes

18 · L. Kiss

20 · A. Benyei

23 · A. Borveto

31 · G. Megyeri

47 · M. Mucsanyi

67 · S. Sareczki

86 · L. Adam

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Kozarmisleny FC

Formation not confirmed

66 S. Lekai

10 B. Zamostny

14 P. Molnar

17 M. Biro

24 D. Kocsis

55 G. Stumpf

7 P. Szucs

70 K. Laszlo

77 T. Turi

81 R. Vajda

90 C. Feher

Coach · Matyas Czuczi

Substitutes

1 · M. Toth

6 · K. Kirchner

8 · B. Vogyicska

20 · Z. Debreceni

21 · B. Herczeg

22 · B. Kozics

23 · D. Bene

26 · B. Geiger

28 · Z. Csucsanszky

41 · M. Katai-Urban

99 · R. Jelena

Diosgyori VTK

Formation not confirmed

99 D. Grof

6 B. Bardos

7 B. Babinszky

10 G. Molnar

11 Z. Galfi

21 T. Galantai

22 S. Bokros

25 G. Holdampf

26 M. Szekszardi

87 M. Revesz

3 C. Szatmari

Coach · Tamas Feczko

Substitutes

4 · A. Kecskes

8 · L. Vass

9 · Z. Medgyes

18 · L. Kiss

20 · A. Benyei

23 · A. Borveto

31 · G. Megyeri

47 · M. Mucsanyi

67 · S. Sareczki

86 · L. Adam

Our number · kozarmisleny fc winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

41% The market26%

Us41%

~~Market~~26%

We make Kozarmisleny FC a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 26%. We are 15 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · kozarmisleny fc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 31% to 26% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kozarmisleny FC win	41%	26%	+15
Draw	23%	27%	−4
Diosgyori VTK win	36%	47%	−11
Over 2.5 goals	59%	51%	+8
Both teams to score	60%	54%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	80%	73%	+7
Over 3.5 goals	37%	31%	+6
Kozarmisleny FC or draw	64%	53%	+11
Kozarmisleny FC clean sheet	24%	–	–
Diosgyori VTK clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 4.7 7.2 5.0 2.5 1 7.9 10.5 7.7 3.8 2 6.0 8.5 6.1 3.0 3 3.2 4.5 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kozarmisleny FC down, Diosgyori VTK across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,613 NB II matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB II matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.5% of games this season, across 61 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kozarmisleny FC at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Diosgyori VTK away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Kozarmisleny FC, 1.47 for Diosgyori VTK. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KOZ 2–3 DIO · DIO 1–1 KOZ

Form · last six in NB II

KOZARMISLENY FC

LLLLWD0–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 1–1

DIOSGYORI VTK

LDLLLW0–4 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Soroksar	8	+16	20
2	Kecskeméti TE	8	+7	17
3	Tiszakecske FC	8	+7	16
4	Ajka	7	+3	14
5	Kazincbarcikai	8	+2	13
6	Gyirmot SE	8	−1	13
7	Mezokovesd-zsory	7	+3	12
8	Karcag SE	8	+2	11
9	Szentlőrinc SE	7	−1	10
10	Fehérvár FC	8	0	9
11	Nagykanizsai ULE	8	−3	9
12	Diosgyori VTK	7	−7	7
13	Szeged 2011	7	−2	6
14	BVSC	7	−5	4
15	Kozarmisleny FC	8	−10	4
16	Csakvar	8	−11	4