Kazincbarcikai v Nagykanizsai ULE prediction · NB II

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Kazincbarcikai 2–1 Nagykanizsai ULE KAZINCBARCIKAI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kazincbarcikai win~~55%

~~The market said~~61%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.304

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.236

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kazincbarcikai are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kazincbarcikai 55%, draw 24%, Nagykanizsai ULE 21%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Kazincbarcikai v Nagykanizsai ULEBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Kazincbarcikai win55%

Draw24%

Nagykanizsai ULE win21%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kazincbarcikai

Nagykanizsai ULE

5Days since last match7

Last match: 19 Oct · NB II

Last match: 17 Oct · NB II

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Kazincbarcikai	10	+5	17
14	Nagykanizsai ULE	10	−7	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kazincbarcikai winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

55% The market61%

Us55%

~~Market~~61%

We make Kazincbarcikai a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kazincbarcikai v Nagykanizsai ULE~~1.68 – 0.93

~~Form · last six in NB II this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 17 v 9~~5 v 14

~~The market · Kazincbarcikai win~~61% · ours 55%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Kazincbarcikai win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kazincbarcikai win	55%	61%	−6
Draw	24%	23%	+1
Nagykanizsai ULE win	21%	17%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	48%	54%	−6
Both teams to score	48%	51%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	73%	76%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	27%	33%	−6
Kazincbarcikai or draw	79%	83%	−4
Kazincbarcikai clean sheet	40%	–	–
Nagykanizsai ULE clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.7%

0123450 7.4 7.3 3.3 1 12.7 11.1 5.3 2 10.3 9.3 4.3 3 5.8 5.2 2.4 4 2.5 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kazincbarcikai down, Nagykanizsai ULE across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,631 NB II matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB II matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.4% of games this season, across 79 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Kazincbarcikai at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Nagykanizsai ULE away: 0.60 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Kazincbarcikai, 0.93 for Nagykanizsai ULE. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB II this season · since 22 Aug

KAZINCBARCIKAI

WDDLWD2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 2–2

NAGYKANIZSAI ULE

LLWWLL0–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Soroksar	10	+14	23
2	Tiszakecske FC	10	+9	22
3	Kecskeméti TE	10	+6	20
4	Gyirmot SE	10	+1	19
5	Kazincbarcikai	10	+5	17
6	Mezokovesd-zsory	10	+5	17
7	Ajka	10	+1	15
8	Fehérvár FC	10	+2	12
9	Diosgyori VTK	10	−5	12
10	Karcag SE	10	−2	11
11	Szentlőrinc SE	10	−5	11
12	BVSC	9	−1	10
13	Szeged 2011	9	−1	10
14	Nagykanizsai ULE	10	−7	9
15	Kozarmisleny FC	10	−9	7
16	Csakvar	10	−13	4