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Kazincbarcikai v Karcag SE

Kazincbarcikai
3–0Full time
Karcag SE

NB II · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35
Kazincbarcikai 3–0 Karcag SE KAZINCBARCIKAI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kazincbarcikai win52%
The market said53%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.351
The market’s Brier score0.328

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kazincbarcikai win at 52%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kazincbarcikai 52% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Kazincbarcikai v Karcag SE
  4. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Kazincbarcikai
  5. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Karcag SE
  6. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Kazincbarcikai 1–0 Karcag SE
  7. 41′Kazincbarcikai find the net on 40′. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–17–5
  8. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Kazincbarcikai win: 52% at kick-off, 78% now
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Kazincbarcikai 1–0 Karcag SE
  10. 46′We said Kazincbarcikai at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–17–5
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Kazincbarcikai 1–0 Karcag SE
  12. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Kazincbarcikai 2–0 Karcag SE
  13. 66′V. Nyiri scores for Kazincbarcikai on 58′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  14. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Kazincbarcikai win: 52% at kick-off, 98% now
  15. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Karcag SE · On: N. Asztalos · Off: O. Fekete
  16. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Karcag SE · On: M. Kohut · Off: M. Halacsi
  17. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Kazincbarcikai 3–0 Karcag SE
  18. 83′⚽ GOAL · 80' Kazincbarcikai 3–0 Karcag SE · B. Trencsenyi
  19. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Kazincbarcikai · On: B. Trencsenyi · Off: R. Schuszter
  20. 87′80′ and it is 3–0: B. Trencsenyi on the scoresheet for Kazincbarcikai. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  21. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Kazincbarcikai
  22. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Karcag SE
  23. FTFULL TIME Kazincbarcikai 3–0 Karcag SE
  24. FTKazincbarcikai 3–0 Karcag SE · Kazincbarcikai win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Kazincbarcikai win52%
Draw24%
Karcag SE win24%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Kazincbarcikai

Formation not confirmed

4 Z. Nagy

5 L. Racz

6 G. Szoke

7 M. Hudak

10 B. Kartik

17 V. Nyiri

18 R. Schuszter

19 M. Greso

66 B. Ferencsik

75 B. Lipoczi

77 T. Vepryk

Coach · Attila Kuttor

Substitutes

1 · D. Gyollai

11 · J. Ferenczi

20 · L. Varjas

28 · N. Kenesei

30 · F. Holender

47 · T. Szabo

71 · N. Koliada

88 · B. Trencsenyi

89 · B. Kocsis

99 · J. Roman

Karcag SE

Formation not confirmed

2 D. Szakal

4 M. Kovalovszki

19 A. Girsik

22 M. Gyorgye

24 T. Szekszardi

33 O. Fekete

42 N. Konyves

77 D. Laszlo

87 N. Varga

88 M. Halacsi

92 K. Szucs

Coach · Attila Varga

Substitutes

5 · A. Z. Gyori

7 · D. Szekely

8 · K. Varga

11 · L. Bela

15 · A. Mona

21 · B. Fabian

23 · L. Fazekas

30 · N. Asztalos

51 · R. Gergely

97 · M. Kohut

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Kazincbarcikai

Formation not confirmed

4 Z. Nagy

5 L. Racz

6 G. Szoke

7 M. Hudak

10 B. Kartik

17 V. Nyiri

18 R. Schuszter

19 M. Greso

66 B. Ferencsik

75 B. Lipoczi

77 T. Vepryk

Coach · Attila Kuttor

Substitutes

1 · D. Gyollai

11 · J. Ferenczi

20 · L. Varjas

28 · N. Kenesei

30 · F. Holender

47 · T. Szabo

71 · N. Koliada

88 · B. Trencsenyi

89 · B. Kocsis

99 · J. Roman

Karcag SE

Formation not confirmed

2 D. Szakal

4 M. Kovalovszki

19 A. Girsik

22 M. Gyorgye

24 T. Szekszardi

33 O. Fekete

42 N. Konyves

77 D. Laszlo

87 N. Varga

88 M. Halacsi

92 K. Szucs

Coach · Attila Varga

Substitutes

5 · A. Z. Gyori

7 · D. Szekely

8 · K. Varga

11 · L. Bela

15 · A. Mona

21 · B. Fabian

23 · L. Fazekas

30 · N. Asztalos

51 · R. Gergely

97 · M. Kohut

Our number · kazincbarcikai winPublished 10 Oct 12:19
52% The market53%
Us52%
Market53%

We make Kazincbarcikai a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 03:56
Our probability · kazincbarcikai win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 50% to 53% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kazincbarcikai win52%53%−2
Draw24%25%−1
Karcag SE win24%21%+3
Over 2.5 goals49%51%−2
Both teams to score50%52%−2
Over 1.5 goals73%74%0
Over 3.5 goals28%31%−4
Kazincbarcikai or draw76%79%−3
Kazincbarcikai clean sheet36%––
Karcag SE clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.8%
0123450 7.1 7.6 3.7 1 11.8 11.3 5.9 2.0 2 9.3 9.3 4.7 3 5.1 5.1 2.6 4 2.1 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kazincbarcikai down, Karcag SE across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in NB II

KAZINCBARCIKAI

DWWDDL2–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–4

KARCAG SE

DDWWLD1–1 · 3–3 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Soroksar8+1620
2Kecskeméti TE8+717
3Tiszakecske FC8+716
4Ajka7+314
5Kazincbarcikai8+213
6Gyirmot SE8−113
7Mezokovesd-zsory7+312
8Karcag SE8+211
9Szentlőrinc SE7−110
10Fehérvár FC809
11Nagykanizsai ULE8−39
12Diosgyori VTK7−77
13Szeged 20117−26
14BVSC7−54
15Kozarmisleny FC8−104
16Csakvar8−114

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.