Gyirmot SE v Soroksar prediction · NB II

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 20:46

Gyirmot SE 3–3 Soroksar GYIRMOT SE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gyirmot SE win~~41%

~~The market said~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.905

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.825

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gyirmot SE are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gyirmot SE 41%, draw 22%, Soroksar 36%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Gyirmot SE v SoroksarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Gyirmot SE win41%

Draw22%

Soroksar win36%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gyirmot SE

Soroksar

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · NB II

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gyirmot se winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

41% The market44%

Us41%

~~Market~~44%

We make Gyirmot SE a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gyirmot SE v Soroksar~~1.71 – 1.58

~~Form · last six in NB II this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 19 v 23~~5 v 1

~~The market · Gyirmot SE win~~44% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Gyirmot SE win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gyirmot SE win	41%	44%	−3
Draw	22%	26%	−4
Soroksar win	36%	29%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	63%	54%	+9
Both teams to score	64%	57%	+7
Over 1.5 goals	83%	74%	+9
Over 3.5 goals	42%	33%	+9
Gyirmot SE or draw	64%	71%	−7
Gyirmot SE clean sheet	21%	–	–
Soroksar clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 3.7 6.3 4.7 2.5 1 6.7 9.7 7.8 4.1 2 5.5 8.4 6.6 3.5 3 3.1 4.8 3.7 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gyirmot SE down, Soroksar across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,631 NB II matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB II matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.4% of games this season, across 79 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gyirmot SE at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Soroksar away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Gyirmot SE, 1.58 for Soroksar. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~GYI 4–0 SOR · SOR 1–2 GYI · GYI 1–0 SOR · SOR 1–0 GYI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB II this season · since 22 Aug

GYIRMOT SE

LLWLWW1–4 · 2–4 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 2–1

SOROKSAR

WWWDLW3–2 · 6–0 · 3–0 · 3–3 · 2–5 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Soroksar	10	+14	23
2	Tiszakecske FC	11	+9	23
3	Kazincbarcikai	11	+6	20
4	Kecskeméti TE	10	+6	20
5	Gyirmot SE	10	+1	19
6	Mezokovesd-zsory	10	+5	17
7	Ajka	10	+1	15
8	Fehérvár FC	10	+2	12
9	Diosgyori VTK	10	−5	12
10	BVSC	10	−1	11
11	Karcag SE	10	−2	11
12	Szentlőrinc SE	10	−5	11
13	Szeged 2011	9	−1	10
14	Nagykanizsai ULE	11	−8	9
15	Kozarmisleny FC	10	−9	7
16	Csakvar	10	−13	4