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Model 1.1
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Fehérvár FC v Szentlőrinc SE

Fehérvár FC
3–0Full time
Szentlőrinc SE

NB II · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32
Fehérvár FC 3–0 Szentlőrinc SE FEHÉRVÁR FC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Fehérvár FC win47%
The market said54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.422
The market’s Brier score0.321

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fehérvár FC win at 47%.
  2. 2′D. Nemeth scores for Fehérvár FC on 1′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–10
  3. 2′KICK-OFF Fehérvár FC v Szentlőrinc SE
  4. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Fehérvár FC win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  5. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Fehérvár FC 2–0 Szentlőrinc SE
  6. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Szentlőrinc SE
  7. 24′8′ and it is 2–0: D. Bartusz on the scoresheet for Fehérvár FC. 2–0 · 92–6–2
  8. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Fehérvár FC win: 47% at kick-off, 92% now
  9. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Szentlőrinc SE
  10. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Szentlőrinc SE
  11. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Szentlőrinc SE
  12. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Szentlőrinc SE
  13. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Szentlőrinc SE
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Fehérvár FC 2–0 Szentlőrinc SE
  15. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Fehérvár FC win: 47% at kick-off, 92% now
  16. 46′SECOND HALF Fehérvár FC 2–0 Szentlőrinc SE
  17. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Szentlőrinc SE · On: R. Gruber · Off: B. Rideg
  18. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Szentlőrinc SE · On: E. Czerna · Off: G. Buta
  19. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Szentlőrinc SE · On: E. Czerna · Off: G. Buta
  20. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Fehérvár FC
  21. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Szentlőrinc SE · On: B. Olah · Off: P. Kiss-Szeman
  22. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Fehérvár FC · On: J. Dubecz · Off: D. Nagy
  23. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Fehérvár FC
  24. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Fehérvár FC 2–1 Szentlőrinc SE
  25. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Szentlőrinc SE · On: M. Jung · Off: A. Rac
  26. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Z. Kojnok · Fehérvár FC
  27. 90′⚽ GOAL · 93' Fehérvár FC 3–0 Szentlőrinc SE
  28. FTFULL TIME Fehérvár FC 3–0 Szentlőrinc SE
  29. FTFehérvár FC 3–0 Szentlőrinc SE · Fehérvár FC win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Fehérvár FC win47%
Draw26%
Szentlőrinc SE win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Fehérvár FC

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Vas

4 C. Spandler

9 D. Nemeth

11 Z. Derekas

14 D. Nagy

22 B. Murka

27 B. Bedi

28 D. Bartusz

70 L. Kurdics

78 K. Kollo

90 K. Kovacs

Coach · Tamas Peto

Substitutes

44 · B. Kemenes

51 · A. Harsfalvi

3 · O. Hesz

5 · D. Kelemen

10 · D. Zsoter

18 · T. Ekbauer

21 · Z. Nagy

29 · Z. Kojnok

72 · J. Dubecz

77 · E. Kovacs

86 · K. Nemeth

Szentlőrinc SE

Formation not confirmed

90 R. Kostyak

4 G. Buta

8 A. Rac

11 B. Kun

17 R. Palfalvi

20 B. Rideg

21 P. Kiss-Szeman

22 G. Bolla

33 O. Dinnyes

40 A. Samson

42 P. Poor

Coach · Mark Nikhazi

Substitutes

46 · S. Szilard

74 · M. Auerbach

7 · B. Olah

15 · M. Jung

27 · L. Milovanovic

67 · E. Czerna

77 · R. Gruber

86 · P. Weisz

24 · Z. Csornyei

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Fehérvár FC

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Vas

4 C. Spandler

9 D. Nemeth

11 Z. Derekas

14 D. Nagy

22 B. Murka

27 B. Bedi

28 D. Bartusz

70 L. Kurdics

78 K. Kollo

90 K. Kovacs

Coach · Tamas Peto

Substitutes

44 · B. Kemenes

51 · A. Harsfalvi

3 · O. Hesz

5 · D. Kelemen

10 · D. Zsoter

18 · T. Ekbauer

21 · Z. Nagy

29 · Z. Kojnok

72 · J. Dubecz

77 · E. Kovacs

86 · K. Nemeth

Szentlőrinc SE

Formation not confirmed

90 R. Kostyak

4 G. Buta

8 A. Rac

11 B. Kun

17 R. Palfalvi

20 B. Rideg

21 P. Kiss-Szeman

22 G. Bolla

33 O. Dinnyes

40 A. Samson

42 P. Poor

Coach · Mark Nikhazi

Substitutes

46 · S. Szilard

74 · M. Auerbach

7 · B. Olah

15 · M. Jung

27 · L. Milovanovic

67 · E. Czerna

77 · R. Gruber

86 · P. Weisz

24 · Z. Csornyei

Our number · fehérvár fc winPublished 10 Oct 16:17
47% The market54%
Us47%
Market54%

We make Fehérvár FC a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 03:56
Our probability · fehérvár fc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 56% to 54% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Fehérvár FC win47%54%−7
Draw26%26%0
Szentlőrinc SE win28%20%+7
Over 2.5 goals46%48%−2
Both teams to score49%50%0
Over 1.5 goals71%71%0
Over 3.5 goals25%29%−4
Fehérvár FC or draw72%80%−7
Fehérvár FC clean sheet35%––
Szentlőrinc SE clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%
0123450 8.0 8.8 4.5 1 12.1 12.0 6.4 2.3 2 8.6 8.9 4.7 3 4.3 4.4 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Fehérvár FC down, Szentlőrinc SE across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsSZE 2–1 FEH · FEH 0–0 SZE

Form · last six in NB II

FEHÉRVÁR FC

WLLLWL1–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1

SZENTLŐRINC SE

WWLLLW1–0 · 3–2 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Soroksar8+1620
2Kecskeméti TE8+717
3Tiszakecske FC8+716
4Ajka7+314
5Kazincbarcikai8+213
6Gyirmot SE8−113
7Mezokovesd-zsory7+312
8Karcag SE8+211
9Szentlőrinc SE7−110
10Fehérvár FC809
11Nagykanizsai ULE8−39
12Diosgyori VTK7−77
13Szeged 20117−26
14BVSC7−54
15Kozarmisleny FC8−104
16Csakvar8−114

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.