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Diosgyori VTK v Kazincbarcikai

Diosgyori VTK
2–2Full time
Kazincbarcikai

NB II · MON 19 OCT

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 21:01
Diosgyori VTK 2–2 Kazincbarcikai DIOSGYORI VTK WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Diosgyori VTK win41%
The market said47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.864
The market’s Brier score0.843

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 34 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Diosgyori VTK win at 41%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Diosgyori VTK 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–24–35
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Diosgyori VTK v Kazincbarcikai
  4. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Kazincbarcikai
  5. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Kazincbarcikai
  6. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Diosgyori VTK
  7. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Diosgyori VTK win 35%)
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Diosgyori VTK 0–0 Kazincbarcikai
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Diosgyori VTK 0–0 Kazincbarcikai
  10. 50′Diosgyori VTK find the net on 50′. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–21–7
  11. 50′We said Diosgyori VTK at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–21–7
  12. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kazincbarcikai · On: M. Greso · Off: L. Varjas
  13. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Diosgyori VTK 1–0 Kazincbarcikai
  14. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Diosgyori VTK win: 41% at kick-off, 72% now
  15. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Diosgyori VTK win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 41%)
  16. 55′Diosgyori VTK ahead on 49′ through B. Bardos. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–20–6
  17. 58′We said Diosgyori VTK at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
  18. 58′A goal for Kazincbarcikai on 58′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–46–25
  19. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Diosgyori VTK 1–1 Kazincbarcikai
  20. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Diosgyori VTK win: 41% at kick-off, 29% now
  21. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Diosgyori VTK win 75%)
  22. 59′We said Diosgyori VTK at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–47–25
  23. 60′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 28–48–24
  24. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Kazincbarcikai · On: B. Trencsenyi · Off: R. Schuszter
  25. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Kazincbarcikai · On: H. Szikszai · Off: T. Vepryk
  26. 67′We said Diosgyori VTK at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–55–21
  27. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Diosgyori VTK win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
  28. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Diosgyori VTK · On: Z. Galfi · Off: B. Babinszky
  29. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Diosgyori VTK
  30. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Diosgyori VTK · On: A. Borveto · Off: Z. Medgyes
  31. 74′We said Diosgyori VTK at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–17
  32. 78′Diosgyori VTK score on 78′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 86–13–1
  33. 78′We said Diosgyori VTK at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
  34. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Diosgyori VTK 2–1 Kazincbarcikai
  35. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Diosgyori VTK win: 41% at kick-off, 86% now
  36. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Diosgyori VTK win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 69%)
  37. 79′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 87–12–1
  38. 82′We said Diosgyori VTK at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  39. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Diosgyori VTK
  40. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Kazincbarcikai · On: J. Ferenczi · Off: B. Kartik
  41. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Diosgyori VTK win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
  42. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Diosgyori VTK
  43. 85′Kazincbarcikai find the net on 85′. 2–2. 2–2 · 8–85–7
  44. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Diosgyori VTK 2–2 Kazincbarcikai
  45. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Diosgyori VTK win: 41% at kick-off, 8% now
  46. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Diosgyori VTK win 92%)
  47. 86′We said Diosgyori VTK at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 7–86–7
  48. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Diosgyori VTK · On: L. Vass · Off: T. Galantai
  49. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Diosgyori VTK · On: A. Benyei · Off: G. Molnar
  50. 87′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 7–87–6
  51. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Kazincbarcikai · On: F. Holender · Off: V. Nyiri
  52. 91′We said Diosgyori VTK at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–4
  53. FTFULL TIME Diosgyori VTK 2–2 Kazincbarcikai
  54. FTDiosgyori VTK 2–2 Kazincbarcikai · Diosgyori VTK win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Diosgyori VTK are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Diosgyori VTK 41%, draw 24%, Kazincbarcikai 35%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Diosgyori VTK v KazincbarcikaiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Diosgyori VTK win41%
Draw24%
Kazincbarcikai win35%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 18:30

RoundMatchday 10

Line-ups

Diosgyori VTK

Kazincbarcikai

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Diosgyori VTK

Kazincbarcikai

6Days since last match9

Last match: 13 Oct · NB II

Last match: 10 Oct · NB II

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Kazincbarcikai9+516
10Diosgyori VTK9−511

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Diosgyori VTK

Formation not confirmed

3 C. Szatmari

4 A. Kecskes

6 B. Bardos

7 B. Babinszky

9 Z. Medgyes

10 G. Molnar

21 T. Galantai

22 S. Bokros

25 G. Holdampf

87 M. Revesz

99 D. Grof

Coach · Tamas Feczko

Substitutes

1 · B. Banhegyi

8 · L. Vass

11 · Z. Galfi

18 · L. Kiss

19 · B. Szabo

20 · A. Benyei

23 · A. Borveto

31 · G. Megyeri

47 · M. Mucsanyi

67 · S. Sareczki

86 · L. Adam

Kazincbarcikai

Formation not confirmed

4 Z. Nagy

5 L. Racz

6 G. Szoke

7 M. Hudak

10 B. Kartik

17 V. Nyiri

18 R. Schuszter

20 L. Varjas

66 B. Ferencsik

75 B. Lipoczi

77 T. Vepryk

Coach · Attila Kuttor

Substitutes

1 · D. Gyollai

8 · M. Palincsar

11 · J. Ferenczi

19 · M. Greso

24 · H. Szikszai

28 · N. Kenesei

30 · F. Holender

47 · T. Szabo

71 · N. Koliada

88 · B. Trencsenyi

89 · B. Kocsis

99 · J. Roman

Our number · diosgyori vtk winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · updated 14 Oct 04:42 · locked at kick-off
41% The market47%
Us41%
Market47%

We make Diosgyori VTK a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Diosgyori VTK v Kazincbarcikai1.50 – 1.35
Form · last six in NB II this season · since 15 AugW2 D1 L3 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 11 v 1610 v 6
The market · Diosgyori VTK win47% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 13 OCT 05:3819 OCT 18:09
Our probability · Diosgyori VTK win The market, margin stripped

Published at 42%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Diosgyori VTK win41%47%−6
Draw24%26%−2
Kazincbarcikai win35%27%+8
Over 2.5 goals54%54%0
Both teams to score56%57%−1
Over 1.5 goals77%76%+1
Over 3.5 goals32%34%−2
Diosgyori VTK or draw65%73%−8
Diosgyori VTK clean sheet26%––
Kazincbarcikai clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%
0123450 5.8 8.3 5.3 2.4 1 9.1 11.2 7.7 3.5 2 6.5 8.5 5.7 2.6 3 3.3 4.3 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Diosgyori VTK down, Kazincbarcikai across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.54 of 7
Both scored4 of 7
Last meetingsDIO 0–4 KAZ · KAZ 1–1 DIO · DIO 2–2 KAZ · KAZ 2–2 DIO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB II this season · since 15 Aug

DIOSGYORI VTK

LLLWWD1–4 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 1–1

KAZINCBARCIKAI

WWDDLW2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Soroksar10+1423
2Tiszakecske FC10+922
3Kecskeméti TE10+620
4Gyirmot SE10+119
5Mezokovesd-zsory10+517
6Kazincbarcikai9+516
7Ajka10+115
8Fehérvár FC10+212
9Karcag SE10−211
10Diosgyori VTK9−511
11Szentlőrinc SE10−511
12BVSC9−110
13Szeged 20119−110
14Nagykanizsai ULE10−79
15Kozarmisleny FC10−97
16Csakvar10−134

The competition's standings before kick-off.