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Model 1.2

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Csakvar v Mezokovesd-zsory

Csakvar
14:00Upcoming
Mezokovesd-zsory

NB II · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CsakvarDrawMezokovesd-zsory
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Mezokovesd-zsory 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mezokovesd-zsory are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Csakvar 33%, draw 25%, Mezokovesd-zsory 42%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Csakvar v Mezokovesd-zsoryBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Csakvar win33%
Draw25%
Mezokovesd-zsory win42%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Csakvar

Mezokovesd-zsory

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · NB II

Last match: 17 Oct · NB II

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Mezokovesd-zsory10+517
16Csakvar10−134

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mezokovesd-zsory winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
42% The market57%
Us42%
Market57%

We make Mezokovesd-zsory a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 15 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Csakvar v Mezokovesd-zsory1.26 – 1.44
Form · last six in NB II this season · since 23 AugW0 D1 L5 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 4 v 1716 v 7
The market · Mezokovesd-zsory win57% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 02:18
Our probability · Mezokovesd-zsory win The market, margin stripped

Published at 41%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Csakvar win33%19%+14
Draw25%24%+1
Mezokovesd-zsory win42%57%−15
Over 2.5 goals50%51%−1
Both teams to score54%51%+3
Over 1.5 goals74%74%0
Over 3.5 goals29%30%−1
Csakvar or draw58%43%+15
Csakvar clean sheet24%––
Mezokovesd-zsory clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 6.6 10.0 7.0 3.4 1 8.8 11.7 8.6 4.2 2 5.4 7.5 5.4 2.6 3 2.3 3.2 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Csakvar down, Mezokovesd-zsory across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.54 of 5
Both scored4 of 5
Last meetingsMEZ 1–0 CSA · CSA 2–1 MEZ · MEZ 3–1 CSA · CSA 2–1 MEZ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB II this season · since 23 Aug

CSAKVAR

LLDLLL0–2 · 0–6 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–1

MEZOKOVESD-ZSORY

WLWDDW4–2 · 0–2 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Soroksar11+1424
2Tiszakecske FC11+923
3Kecskeméti TE11+923
4Kazincbarcikai11+620
5Gyirmot SE11+120
6Ajka11+218
7Mezokovesd-zsory10+517
8Diosgyori VTK11−215
9Szentlőrinc SE11−314
10Fehérvár FC11+112
11BVSC10−111
12Karcag SE11−511
13Szeged 201110−410
14Nagykanizsai ULE11−89
15Kozarmisleny FC11−117
16Csakvar10−134

The competition's standings before kick-off.