Csakvar v Kecskeméti TE prediction · NB II

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Csakvar 1–2 Kecskeméti TE KECSKEMÉTI TE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kecskeméti TE win~~47%

~~The market said~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.421

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.217

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 36 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kecskeméti TE win at 47%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Kecskeméti TE 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 30–23–47
7′Little has changed for our model: Kecskeméti TE 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 30–24–46
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Csakvar 1–0 Kecskeméti TE
39′A goal for Csakvar on 36′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 60–24–16
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Kecskeméti TE win: 47% at kick-off, 16% now
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Csakvar win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Kecskeméti TE win 16%)
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Kecskeméti TE win: 47% at kick-off, 44% now
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Kecskeméti TE win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Csakvar win 29%)
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Kecskeméti TE win: 47% at kick-off, 44% now
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Kecskeméti TE win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Csakvar win 29%)
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Kecskeméti TE win: 47% at kick-off, 16% now
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Csakvar win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Kecskeméti TE win 16%)
41′A goal for Csakvar on 36′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 61–24–15
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Kecskeméti TE win: 47% at kick-off, 44% now
41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Kecskeméti TE win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Csakvar win 29%)
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Kecskeméti TE win: 47% at kick-off, 16% now
41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Csakvar win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Kecskeméti TE win 16%)
45′⚽ GOAL · 36' Csakvar 1–0 Kecskeméti TE · P. Benko
45′HALF-TIME Csakvar 1–0 Kecskeméti TE
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Kecskeméti TE win: 47% at kick-off, 15% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Csakvar win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Kecskeméti TE win 15%)
46′SECOND HALF Csakvar 1–0 Kecskeméti TE
52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Csakvar · On: D. Asvanyi · Off: B. Somfalvi
64′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Csakvar · On: Z. Pesti · Off: N. Dencinger
64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Kecskeméti TE · On: A. Eordogh · Off: S. Goblyos
65′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Kecskeméti TE · On: B. Farkas · Off: B. Nemeth
66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Kecskeméti TE
72′🟥 RED CARD · 71' Kecskeméti TE
73′🟥 RED CARD · 72' Csakvar
74′🟥 RED CARD · 72' Csakvar
74′🟥 RED CARD · 74' Csakvar
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Csakvar 1–1 Kecskeméti TE
78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Csakvar 1–1 Kecskeméti TE
81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Csakvar 1–2 Kecskeméti TE
84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Csakvar
85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Kecskeméti TE
86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Kecskeméti TE
88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Kecskeméti TE
90′🟥 RED CARD · 92' Kecskeméti TE
FTFULL TIME Csakvar 1–2 Kecskeméti TE
FTCsakvar 1–2 Kecskeméti TE · Kecskeméti TE win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Csakvar win30%

Draw22%

Kecskeméti TE win47%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Line-ups

Csakvar

Kecskeméti TE

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Csakvar

Kecskeméti TE

22Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Kecskeméti TE	8	+7	17
15	Csakvar	8	−11	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Csakvar

Formation not confirmed

61 M. Bozo

5 B. Schmidtka

11 P. Benko

13 Z. Sipos

14 B. Somfalvi

16 D. Meszaros

22 M. Helembai

24 N. Dencinger

42 M. Lorentz

74 B. Komlosi

77 G. Major

Coach · Andras Berndt

Substitutes

12 · J. Takacs

31 · A. Weidinger

9 · Z. Pesti

15 · D. Asvanyi

17 · B. Vas

19 · D. Zahoran

37 · K. Koppany

57 · E. Hollo

70 · A. Kancsij

76 · M. Nemes

78 · G. Ban

Kecskeméti TE

Formation not confirmed

12 B. Ruisz

3 S. Szucs

6 A. Haris

10 B. Szabo

11 B. Kovacs

14 P. Beke

15 G. Gajag

17 M. Berki

19 J. Szepe

44 S. Goblyos

92 B. Nemeth

Coach · Krisztian Timar

Substitutes

97 · I. Szabados

4 · Z. Szilgayi

7 · A. Merenyi

8 · P. Nyari

9 · A. Bolyki

23 · P. Banyai

26 · B. Farkas

27 · B. Bolgar

34 · A. Szojma

66 · A. Eordogh

74 · P. Palvolgyi

77 · M. Kotula

Our number · kecskeméti te winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

47% The market62%

Us47%

~~Market~~62%

We make Kecskeméti TE a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 15 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · kecskeméti te win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 51% to 62% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Csakvar win	30%	16%	+14
Draw	22%	22%	+1
Kecskeméti TE win	47%	62%	−15
Over 2.5 goals	61%	56%	+5
Both teams to score	61%	51%	+10
Over 1.5 goals	82%	77%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	39%	35%	+3
Csakvar or draw	53%	38%	+15
Csakvar clean sheet	17%	–	–
Kecskeméti TE clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.2 7.8 6.7 4.0 1 6.2 10.0 9.0 5.4 2.5 2 4.1 7.1 6.2 3.7 3 3.3 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Csakvar down, Kecskeméti TE across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,619 NB II matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NB II matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.2% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Csakvar at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kecskeméti TE away: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Csakvar, 1.79 for Kecskeméti TE. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~CSA 6–1 KEC · KEC 2–2 CSA · CSA 2–1 KEC · KEC 2–0 CSA

Form · last six in NB II

CSAKVAR

WLLLDL2–0 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 0–6 · 2–2 · 0–1

KECSKEMÉTI TE

WWWWDW1–0 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Soroksar	8	+16	20
2	Tiszakecske FC	9	+8	19
3	Kecskeméti TE	8	+7	17
4	Kazincbarcikai	9	+5	16
5	Gyirmot SE	9	0	16
6	Ajka	8	+2	14
7	Mezokovesd-zsory	8	+3	13
8	Fehérvár FC	9	+3	12
9	Karcag SE	9	−1	11
10	Szentlőrinc SE	8	−4	10
11	Diosgyori VTK	8	−5	10
12	Nagykanizsai ULE	9	−4	9
13	Szeged 2011	8	−2	7
14	BVSC	7	−5	4
15	Csakvar	8	−11	4
16	Kozarmisleny FC	9	−12	4