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Zalaegerszegi TE v Kisvarda FC

Zalaegerszegi TE
1–1Full time
Kisvarda FC

NB I · SAT 24 OCT · ZTE Arena

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:15
Zalaegerszegi TE 1–1 Kisvarda FC ZALAEGERSZEGI TE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Zalaegerszegi TE win43%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.781
The market’s Brier score0.939

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zalaegerszegi TE win at 43%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Zalaegerszegi TE was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–28–29
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Zalaegerszegi TE v Kisvarda FC
  4. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Kisvarda FC
  5. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Tibor Lippai · Kisvarda FC
  6. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Zalaegerszegi TE win 37%)
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Zalaegerszegi TE 0–0 Kisvarda FC
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Zalaegerszegi TE 0–0 Kisvarda FC
  9. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Zalaegerszegi TE win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
  10. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kisvarda FC · On: Martin Chlumecky · Off: Dominik Soltész
  11. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Bence Bíró · Kisvarda FC
  12. 53′We said Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–45–23
  13. 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 30–47–23
  14. 57′We said Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–22
  15. 59′We published Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–18–4
  16. 59′Emin Kujovic scores for Zalaegerszegi TE on 58′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–18–4
  17. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Zalaegerszegi TE 1–0 Kisvarda FC
  18. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Zalaegerszegi TE win: 43% at kick-off, 78% now
  19. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Zalaegerszegi TE win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 49%)
  20. 63′We published Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  21. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Danylo Krevsun · Zalaegerszegi TE
  22. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Zalaegerszegi TE win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
  23. 71′We said Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 21–62–16
  24. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Zalaegerszegi TE 1–1 Kisvarda FC
  25. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Zalaegerszegi TE win: 43% at kick-off, 21% now
  26. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Zalaegerszegi TE win 83%)
  27. 72′71′: Tonislav Yordanov on the scoresheet for Kisvarda FC, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 20–64–16
  28. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Zalaegerszegi TE · On: Bence Babos · Off: Arthur Henrique Marques Machado
  29. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Zalaegerszegi TE win: 43% at kick-off, 20% now
  30. 74′We said Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–15
  31. 74′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 19–67–15
  32. 79′We said Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
  33. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Diogo Antônio Rodrigues da Silva · Zalaegerszegi TE
  34. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Zalaegerszegi TE win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
  35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Kisvarda FC · On: Teslim Abdulateef Balogun · Off: Tonislav Yordanov
  36. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Kisvarda FC · On: Gennadiy Szikszai · Off: Miroszláv Babják
  37. 84′We said Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–85–7
  38. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Zalaegerszegi TE · On: Marlon Santos Teodoro · Off: Maxsuell Alegria
  39. 90′We said Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
  40. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Zalaegerszegi TE win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  41. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Tiago Penalba · Zalaegerszegi TE
  42. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Kisvarda FC · On: Christián Herc · Off: Krisztian Nagy
  43. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Amos Youga · Kisvarda FC
  44. FTFULL TIME Zalaegerszegi TE 1–1 Kisvarda FC
  45. FTZalaegerszegi TE 1–1 Kisvarda FC · Zalaegerszegi TE win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zalaegerszegi TE are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zalaegerszegi TE 43%, draw 28%, Kisvarda FC 29%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Zalaegerszegi TE v Kisvarda FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Zalaegerszegi TE win43%
Draw28%
Kisvarda FC win29%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenueZTE Arena

Line-ups

Zalaegerszegi TE

4-4-2

Kisvarda FC

4-4-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zalaegerszegi TE

Kisvarda FC

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · NB I

Last match: 18 Oct · NB I

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Kisvarda FC10−111
11Zalaegerszegi TE10−99

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Zalaegerszegi TE

4-4-2

1 B. Gundel-Takács

8 A. Csonka

13 T. Peñalba

33 Antonio Diogo

18 Calderón

23 Max

30 F. Amato

6 E. Kujović

77 Arthur Henrique

9 Matheus Machado

7 Danylo Krevsun

Coach · Filipe Çelikkaya

Substitutes

32 · L. Alfonso

74 · B. Babos

2 · Aiden Joshua Harangi

10 · B. Kiss

80 · Marlon

4 · J. Peraza

17 · Teixeira Guilherme

3 · Fernando José Vera García

14 · Jude Madaki

37 · Pietro Musto Grecco

99 · Zeteny Garai

20 · M. Richards

Kisvarda FC

4-4-2

23 I. Popovich

55 K. Nagy

42 T. Lippai

25 B. Šerbečić

10 D. Soltész

29 B. Bíró

14 B. Melnyk

22 A. Youga

37 Miroslav Babjak

80 H. Mbock

99 T. Yordanov

Coach · A. Supka

Substitutes

86 · S. Novothny

27 · J. Mešanović

18 · K. Körmendi

24 · C. Herc

70 · L. Szőr

21 · G. Szikszai

32 · Z. Papp

45 · T. A. Balogun

4 · M. Chlumecký

Our number · zalaegerszegi te winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 23 Oct 04:18 · locked at kick-off
43% The market55%
Us43%
Market55%

We make Zalaegerszegi TE a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Zalaegerszegi TE v Kisvarda FC1.43 – 1.14
Form · last six in NB I this season · since 23 AugW2 D0 L4 · W1 D4 L1
Table places · points 9 v 1111 v 9
The market · Zalaegerszegi TE win55% · ours 43%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 17:44
Our probability · Zalaegerszegi TE win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zalaegerszegi TE win43%55%−12
Draw28%23%+5
Kisvarda FC win29%21%+8
Over 2.5 goals47%58%−11
Both teams to score53%58%−5
Over 1.5 goals74%79%−5
Over 3.5 goals26%37%−11
Zalaegerszegi TE or draw71%79%−8
Zalaegerszegi TE clean sheet32%––
Kisvarda FC clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%
0123450 8.7 7.7 5.0 1 9.9 13.4 7.1 2.7 2 7.8 8.9 5.1 3 3.7 4.2 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Zalaegerszegi TE down, Kisvarda FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored4 of 10
Last meetingsZAL 2–0 KIS · KIS 3–3 ZAL · ZAL 1–2 KIS · KIS 1–0 ZAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB I this season · since 23 Aug

ZALAEGERSZEGI TE

LLWLWL0–3 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 5–1 · 0–3

KISVARDA FC

DDWLDD0–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Puskas Academy10+521
2Gyori ETO FC10+618
3Debreceni VSC11+216
4Vasas10+515
5Ujpest10+315
6Ferencvarosi TC9+314
7Paks10+114
8MTK Budapest10−112
9Kisvarda FC10−111
10Budapest Honved10−410
11Zalaegerszegi TE10−99
12Nyiregyhaza10−108

The competition's standings before kick-off.