Gyori ETO FC v Vasas prediction · NB I

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Gyori ETO FCDrawVasas

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Gyori ETO FC 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gyori ETO FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gyori ETO FC 54%, draw 25%, Vasas 21%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Gyori ETO FC v VasasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Gyori ETO FC win54%

Draw25%

Vasas win21%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueETO Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gyori ETO FC

Vasas

7Days since last match15

Last match: 24 Oct · NB I

Last match: 16 Oct · NB I

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gyori eto fc winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Gyori ETO FC a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gyori ETO FC v Vasas~~1.74 – 1.00

~~Form · last six in NB I this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 21 v 15~~1 v 4

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gyori ETO FC win	54%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Vasas win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Gyori ETO FC or draw	79%	–	–
Gyori ETO FC clean sheet	37%	–	–
Vasas clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 7.5 5.5 3.2 1 10.4 12.0 5.6 2 9.8 9.6 4.8 3 5.7 5.6 2.8 4 2.5 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gyori ETO FC down, Vasas across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,052 NB I matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NB I matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.8% of games this season, across 62 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.20 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gyori ETO FC at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Vasas away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for Gyori ETO FC, 1.00 for Vasas. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.20

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~VAS 2–2 GYO · GYO 3–2 VAS · VAS 6–0 GYO · VAS 2–0 GYO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NB I this season · since 22 Aug

GYORI ETO FC

LWWLWW0–3 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0

VASAS

LLWWDL0–1 · 1–3 · 3–2 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gyori ETO FC	11	+7	21
2	Puskas Academy	10	+5	21
3	Debreceni VSC	11	+2	16
4	Vasas	10	+5	15
5	Ujpest	11	+2	15
6	Ferencvarosi TC	9	+3	14
7	Paks	10	+1	14
8	MTK Budapest	10	−1	12
9	Kisvarda FC	11	−1	12
10	Budapest Honved	10	−4	10
11	Zalaegerszegi TE	11	−9	10
12	Nyiregyhaza	10	−10	8