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North District v Kowloon City
North DistrictKowloon CitySenior Shield · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
North District are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: North District 64%, draw 17%, Kowloon City 19%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
North District win64%Kowloon City win19%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00
RoundQuarter-finals
Match timeline
All events
North DistrictMINKowloon CityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
North District
Kowloon City
Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Hong Kong)
Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Hong Kong)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make North District a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 67%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.6–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 67% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| North District win | 64% | 67% | −3 |
| Draw | 17% | 17% | 0 |
| Kowloon City win | 19% | 16% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 75% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 67% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 89% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 56% | −3 |
| North District or draw | 81% | 84% | −3 |
| North District clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Kowloon City clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Senior Shield this season · since 19 Sept
NORTH DISTRICT
No matches in our record yet.
KOWLOON CITY