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Model 1.2

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BC Rangers v Warriors

BC Rangers
08:00Upcoming
Warriors

Senior Shield · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BC RangersDrawWarriors
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Warriors 72%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Warriors are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: BC Rangers 12%, draw 15%, Warriors 72%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on BC Rangers v WarriorsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

BC Rangers win12%
Draw15%
Warriors win72%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 08:00

RoundQuarter-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

BC Rangers

Warriors

7Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Hong Kong)

Last match: 19 Oct · Premier League (Hong Kong)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · warriors winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 20 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
72% The market67%
Us72%
Market67%

We make Warriors a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 67%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–2.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · BC Rangers v Warriors0.98 – 2.66
The market · Warriors win67% · ours 72%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75%80% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 00:55
Our probability · Warriors win The market, margin stripped

Published at 74%, 72% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 67% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
BC Rangers win12%15%−3
Draw15%18%−3
Warriors win72%67%+5
Over 2.5 goals70%71%−1
Both teams to score57%64%−7
Over 1.5 goals87%88%−1
Over 3.5 goals49%51%−2
BC Rangers or draw28%33%−5
BC Rangers clean sheet8%––
Warriors clean sheet38%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 9.2%
0123450 2.6 7.5 9.2 8.0 5.4 3.01 3.1 6.6 8.7 7.6 5.0 2.82 3.4 4.3 3.7 2.5 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+BC Rangers down, Warriors across0–5 goals a side shown (93.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting3.25
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsBCR 0–2 WAR · BCR 3–3 WAR · WAR 2–0 BCR · BCR 1–2 WAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Senior Shield this season · since 19 Sept

BC RANGERS

No matches in our record yet.

WARRIORS

W1–0