Home › Football › Premier League › Wofoo Tai Po v Southern District
Back

Wofoo Tai Po v Southern District
Wofoo Tai Po
Southern DistrictPremier League · MON 19 OCT · Tai Po Sports Ground
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Wofoo Tai Po win at 55%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Wofoo Tai Po 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–20–25
- 1′KICK-OFF Wofoo Tai Po v Southern District
- 30′SUBSTITUTION · 27' Wofoo Tai Po · On: H. P. Chan · Off: Leo Rigo
- 34′A goal for Wofoo Tai Po on 34′. 0–0 · 47–29–24
- 40′A goal for Wofoo Tai Po on 40′. 0–0 · 46–31–23
- 41′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–17–7
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Wofoo Tai Po win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Wofoo Tai Po 1–0 Southern District
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Wofoo Tai Po win: 55% at kick-off, 77% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Wofoo Tai Po 2–0 Southern District
- 46′SECOND HALF Wofoo Tai Po 2–0 Southern District
- 47′A goal for Wofoo Tai Po on 45′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Wofoo Tai Po 2–0 Southern District
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Wofoo Tai Po win: 55% at kick-off, 94% now
- 48′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 49′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Wofoo Tai Po · On: Paulinho · Off: P. Chan Siu-Kwan
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Wofoo Tai Po
- 50′PENALTY MISSED · 50' Southern District
- 51′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Wofoo Tai Po win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
- 53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Southern District · On: Kayron · Off: B. Landa
- 53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Southern District · On: Lucas Agueiro · Off: Wong Ho-Chun Anson
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Southern District · On: Stefan · Off: Poon Pui-Hin
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Wofoo Tai Po · On: H. M. Chang · Off: Lijing Cai
- 71′Southern District score on 71′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Wofoo Tai Po 2–1 Southern District
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Wofoo Tai Po win: 55% at kick-off, 84% now
- 72′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 2–1 · 84–14–2
- 73′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
- 74′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 2–2 · 25–60–15
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Wofoo Tai Po 2–2 Southern District
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Wofoo Tai Po win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Wofoo Tai Po win 25%)
- 75′Southern District find the net on 74′. 2–2. 2–2 · 24–62–14
- 76′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 23–63–14
- 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 22–65–13
- 79′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–69–12
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Wofoo Tai Po win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
- 83′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–78–8
- 84′A goal for Wofoo Tai Po on 84′. 2–2 · 12–81–7
- 84′5 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 93–7–0
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Wofoo Tai Po 3–2 Southern District
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Wofoo Tai Po win: 55% at kick-off, 93% now
- 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Wofoo Tai Po win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
- 86′Wofoo Tai Po find the net on 85′. 3–2 · 94–6–0
- 86′We said Wofoo Tai Po at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Wofoo Tai Po 4–2 Southern District
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Wofoo Tai Po win: 55% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 87′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Southern District · On: C. Lee · Off: Cheng Tsz-Sum
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Wofoo Tai Po
- FTFULL TIME Wofoo Tai Po 4–2 Southern District
- FTWofoo Tai Po 4–2 Southern District · Wofoo Tai Po win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Wofoo Tai Po are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Wofoo Tai Po 55%, draw 20%, Southern District 25%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
Wofoo Tai Po win55%
Southern District win25%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 09:00
RoundMatchday 6
VenueTai Po Sports Ground
Match timeline
All events
Wofoo Tai PoMIN
Southern DistrictEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Wofoo Tai Po
Southern District
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Wofoo Tai Po
Southern District
Last match: 15 Oct · AFC Champions League Two
Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Hong Kong)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Wofoo Tai Po
Formation not confirmed
94 Tse Ka-Wing
4 Leo Rigo
10 Fernando
16 P. Chan Siu-Kwan
20 Wong Hin-Sum
23 Lijing Cai
26 Lee Ka-Ho
33 Gabriel Cividini
44 Weverton Rangel
79 Wallisson Bahia
97 Marquinhos
Coach · Chi-Kin Lee
Substitutes
99 · H. Wu
6 · H. P. Chan
7 · H. M. Chang
9 · Paulinho
19 · Y. Kwok
28 · Wong Sum-Chit Sherman
Southern District
Formation not confirmed
1 W. H. Ng
2 C. Hall
5 Danilo Santos
9 Poon Pui-Hin
10 Wong Ho-Chun Anson
11 S. Sasaki
12 K. Lai
16 Chak Ting-Fung
22 S. Golubovic
63 B. Landa
99 Cheng Tsz-Sum
Coach · –
Substitutes
31 · N. S. Ngan
32 · P. A. Hui
7 · Stefan
8 · Lee Ka-Yiu
14 · C. Lee
19 · T. A. Chong
24 · P. Cheung
27 · Kayron
33 · Lucas Agueiro
77 · Hon Shing-Wing
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Wofoo Tai Po
Formation not confirmed
94 Tse Ka-Wing
4 Leo Rigo
10 Fernando
16 P. Chan Siu-Kwan
20 Wong Hin-Sum
23 Lijing Cai
26 Lee Ka-Ho
33 Gabriel Cividini
44 Weverton Rangel
79 Wallisson Bahia
97 Marquinhos
Coach · Chi-Kin Lee
Substitutes
99 · H. Wu
6 · H. P. Chan
7 · H. M. Chang
9 · Paulinho
19 · Y. Kwok
28 · Wong Sum-Chit Sherman
Southern District
Formation not confirmed
1 W. H. Ng
2 C. Hall
5 Danilo Santos
9 Poon Pui-Hin
10 Wong Ho-Chun Anson
11 S. Sasaki
12 K. Lai
16 Chak Ting-Fung
22 S. Golubovic
63 B. Landa
99 Cheng Tsz-Sum
Coach · –
Substitutes
31 · N. S. Ngan
32 · P. A. Hui
7 · Stefan
8 · Lee Ka-Yiu
14 · C. Lee
19 · T. A. Chong
24 · P. Cheung
27 · Kayron
33 · Lucas Agueiro
77 · Hon Shing-Wing
We make Wofoo Tai Po a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wofoo Tai Po win | 55% | 49% | +6 |
| Draw | 20% | 23% | −3 |
| Southern District win | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 62% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 81% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 41% | +2 |
| Wofoo Tai Po or draw | 75% | 72% | +3 |
| Wofoo Tai Po clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Southern District clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 22 Aug
WOFOO TAI PO
SOUTHERN DISTRICT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North District | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Wofoo Tai Po | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Eastern | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Kowloon City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern District | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | BC Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Shatin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Kitchee
Warriors
North District
Eastern
Kowloon City
Eastern District
BC Rangers
Hong Kong FC
Shatin