Eastern District v Eastern

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Eastern win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Eastern was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 27–24–49
3. 1′KICK-OFF Eastern District v Eastern
4. 19′We said Eastern at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 55–25–21
5. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Eastern District 1–0 Eastern
6. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Eastern win: 49% at kick-off, 21% now
7. 19′THE CALL SWINGS · 19' Eastern District win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Eastern win 21%)
8. 20′Eastern District find the net on 19′. 1–0. 1–0 · 55–25–21
9. 24′Eastern District ahead on 20′ through Michel Renner. 1–0. 1–0 · 56–25–19
10. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Eastern win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
11. 25′We said Eastern at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 56–25–19
12. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Eastern District
13. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 57–25–18
14. 40′We said Eastern at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 60–25–14
15. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Eastern District
16. 45′SECOND HALF Eastern District 1–0 Eastern
17. 47′HALF-TIME Eastern District 1–0 Eastern
18. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Eastern · On: Lee Lok-Him · Off: N. Lorenzo
19. 54′We said Eastern at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 21–44–34
20. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Eastern District 1–1 Eastern
21. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Eastern win: 49% at kick-off, 34% now
22. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Eastern District win 21%)
23. 55′A goal for Eastern on 55′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 21–45–34
24. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Eastern District
25. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Eastern
26. 63′We said Eastern at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 19–52–29
27. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Eastern win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
28. 66′We said Eastern at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 2–1 · 73–22–5
29. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Eastern District 2–1 Eastern
30. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Eastern win: 49% at kick-off, 5% now
31. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Eastern District win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 22%)
32. 67′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 73–21–5
33. 68′Eastern District score on 67′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 74–21–5
34. 69′We said Eastern at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–21–4
35. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Eastern · On: A. Parada Gil · Off: C. Leung
36. 77′🟥 RED CARD · 77' Eastern District
37. 85′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 6–85–9
38. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Eastern District 2–2 Eastern
39. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Eastern District win 6%)
40. 86′Eastern find the net on 86′. 2–2. 2–2 · 5–87–8
41. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Eastern District · On: K. Yoong · Off: Yeung Cheuk-Kwan
42. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Eastern District · On: A. Salinas · Off: Luizinho
43. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Eastern · On: T. Loong · Off: Wong Fred Yang
44. 95′Full time, 2–2. We called Eastern at 49% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
45. FTFULL TIME Eastern District 2–2 Eastern
46. FTEastern District 2–2 Eastern · Eastern win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.