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BC Rangers v North District
BC Rangers
North DistrictPremier League · SUN 18 OCT · Tuen Mun tang Shiu Kin Sports Ground
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said North District win at 62%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: North District was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 20–18–62
- 1′KICK-OFF BC Rangers v North District
- 31′🟨 YELLOW · 30' BC Rangers
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' North District win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
- 45′We said North District at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 20–29–50
- 45′HALF-TIME BC Rangers 0–0 North District
- 46′SECOND HALF BC Rangers 0–0 North District
- 47′We said North District at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 20–30–49
- 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' BC Rangers
- 55′We expected about 3.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 19–35–45
- 57′We said North District at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 19–37–44
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' North District win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
- 64′We said North District at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 18–43–39
- 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was North District win 39%)
- 66′North District score on 66′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 3–14–83
- 66′We published North District at 62%. Our model now makes it 83%. 0–1 · 3–14–83
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 59' BC Rangers · On: I. Yakubu Nassam · Off: H. Chen
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' BC Rangers 0–1 North District
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' North District win: 62% at kick-off, 83% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' North District win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 14%)
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' North District · On: Vinicius Soares · Off: V. Kauan
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' North District · On: Wong Tsz-Ho · Off: Yuen Sai-Kit
- 72′We published North District at 62%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 73' BC Rangers · On: Matheus Pato · Off: W. F. Leung
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 73' BC Rangers · On: C. Tsang · Off: C. Ma
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' North District
- 81′We published North District at 62%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' North District · On: Law Hiu-Chung · Off: Weverton Gudula
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' North District win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
- 88′We published North District at 62%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' BC Rangers · On: H. Yung · Off: C. J. Ho
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' BC Rangers · On: C. Y. Lam · Off: C. Cheung
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 88' North District · On: Lo Kong-Wai · Off: J. Khan
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 88' North District · On: Wong Chun-Ho · Off: Fung Kwun-Ming
- FTFULL TIME BC Rangers 0–1 North District
- FTBC Rangers 0–1 North District · North District win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
North District are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: BC Rangers 20%, draw 17%, North District 62%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 66%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
BC Rangers win20%
North District win62%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:30
RoundMatchday 6
VenueTuen Mun tang Shiu Kin Sports Ground
Match timeline
All events
BC RangersMIN
North DistrictEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
BC Rangers
North District
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
BC Rangers
North District
Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Hong Kong)
Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League (Hong Kong)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
BC Rangers
Formation not confirmed
70 Yip Ka-Yu
3 Antenor Junior
4 W. F. Leung
5 A. Zarei
9 Flavio Tico
10 C. J. Ho
11 H. Chen
14 Y. Ma
20 C. Cheung
25 Paulinho Souza
26 C. Ma
Coach · Man-Chun Szeto
Substitutes
19 · C. Tong
99 · H. Wong
12 · Matheus Pato
17 · C. Tsang
18 · Y. A. Lau
21 · I. Yakubu Nassam
23 · H. Yung
28 · M. Wong
30 · W. Chow
35 · C. Y. Lam
39 · S. Wong
96 · O. Cheung
North District
Formation not confirmed
63 H. D. Li
2 B. K. Singh
4 Fung Kwun-Ming
5 C. Paez
7 Yuen Sai-Kit
11 Weverton Gudula
16 K. Mosquera
19 J. Khan
20 Kayke David
70 Samuel Granada
77 V. Kauan
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · W. C. Yuen
13 · K. Chan
3 · Wong Chun-Ho
6 · C. Tsang
8 · Vinicius Soares
9 · Lo Kong-Wai
10 · Law Hiu-Chung
15 · H. Wong
18 · T. M. Dai
23 · C. N. Siu
37 · Wong Tsz-Ho
87 · L. Tsui
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
BC Rangers
Formation not confirmed
70 Yip Ka-Yu
3 Antenor Junior
4 W. F. Leung
5 A. Zarei
9 Flavio Tico
10 C. J. Ho
11 H. Chen
14 Y. Ma
20 C. Cheung
25 Paulinho Souza
26 C. Ma
Coach · Man-Chun Szeto
Substitutes
19 · C. Tong
99 · H. Wong
12 · Matheus Pato
17 · C. Tsang
18 · Y. A. Lau
21 · I. Yakubu Nassam
23 · H. Yung
28 · M. Wong
30 · W. Chow
35 · C. Y. Lam
39 · S. Wong
96 · O. Cheung
North District
Formation not confirmed
63 H. D. Li
2 B. K. Singh
4 Fung Kwun-Ming
5 C. Paez
7 Yuen Sai-Kit
11 Weverton Gudula
16 K. Mosquera
19 J. Khan
20 Kayke David
70 Samuel Granada
77 V. Kauan
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · W. C. Yuen
13 · K. Chan
3 · Wong Chun-Ho
6 · C. Tsang
8 · Vinicius Soares
9 · Lo Kong-Wai
10 · Law Hiu-Chung
15 · H. Wong
18 · T. M. Dai
23 · C. N. Siu
37 · Wong Tsz-Ho
87 · L. Tsui
We make North District a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 74%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–2.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 74% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC Rangers win | 20% | 10% | +10 |
| Draw | 17% | 16% | +1 |
| North District win | 62% | 74% | −12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 71% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 57% | +9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 87% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 51% | +2 |
| BC Rangers or draw | 38% | 26% | +12 |
| BC Rangers clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
| North District clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 22 Aug
BC RANGERS
NORTH DISTRICT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North District | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Wofoo Tai Po | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Eastern | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Kowloon City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern District | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | BC Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Shatin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Kitchee
Warriors
Wofoo Tai Po
Eastern
Kowloon City
Eastern District
Southern District
Hong Kong FC
Shatin