Xelajú v Malacateco

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Xelajú win at 67%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Xelajú was 67% before kick-off and our model makes it 67% now. 0–0 · 67–20–12
3. 1′KICK-OFF Xelajú v Malacateco
4. 17′Malacateco find the net on 17′. 0–0 · 63–24–13
5. 17′We said Xelajú at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–1 · 35–28–37
6. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Xelajú 0–1 Malacateco
7. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Xelajú win: 67% at kick-off, 35% now
8. 19′We said Xelajú at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–28–38
9. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Malacateco win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Xelajú win 33%)
10. 29′We said Xelajú at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–29–41
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 29–30–42
12. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Xelajú
13. 32′A goal for Xelajú on 32′. 0–1 · 28–30–43
14. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Xelajú win: 67% at kick-off, 27% now
15. 34′⚽ GOAL · 32' Xelajú 1–1 Malacateco · J. Cardona
16. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Xelajú win: 67% at kick-off, 57% now
17. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Xelajú win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Malacateco win 13%)
18. 37′We said Xelajú at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 55%. 1–1 · 55–32–13
19. 39′We said Xelajú at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–33–13
20. 45′HALF-TIME Xelajú 1–1 Malacateco
21. 46′SECOND HALF Xelajú 1–1 Malacateco
22. 48′We said Xelajú at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–38–13
23. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Malacateco · On: J. Longo · Off: G. Vasquez
24. 51′Xelajú find the net on 51′. 1–1 · 48–40–13
25. 52′We published Xelajú at 67%. Our model now makes it 87%. 2–1 · 87–11–2
26. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Xelajú win: 67% at kick-off, 47% now
27. 52′⚽ GOAL · 51' Xelajú 2–1 Malacateco
28. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Xelajú win: 67% at kick-off, 87% now
29. 53′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–11–2
30. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Xelajú win: 67% at kick-off, 88% now
31. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Malacateco · On: F. Morales · Off: A. Soto
32. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Malacateco · On: R. Garcia · Off: D. J. Guzman Miron
33. 67′We published Xelajú at 67%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
34. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Malacateco · On: J. Trigueno · Off: A. Morales
35. 79′A goal for Xelajú on 78′. 2–1 · 93–6–0
36. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Xelajú · On: R. Marquez · Off: O. de Leon
37. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Malacateco · On: J. Correa · Off: E. Quinones
38. 81′H. E. Quezada Gamez scores for Xelajú on 77′. 2–1 · 94–5–0
39. 82′We published Xelajú at 67%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
40. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Malacateco
41. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Xelajú win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
42. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Xelajú
43. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Xelajú · On: J. Castaneda · Off: H. E. Quezada Gamez
44. FTFULL TIME Xelajú 2–1 Malacateco
45. FTXelajú 2–1 Malacateco · Xelajú win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.